Email: Sat, Dec 13, 2014 at 9:08 AM 12/13/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 11 Florida Panthers/Buffalo Sabres* Under 5 -108 Risking 2.00 To Win 1.85 (Loss) This is a great match up for anyone who follows NHL stats. The second worst team in the NHL for scoring is the Florida Panthers with a total of only 59 goals for the year, and the only team worse, you guessed it, Buffalo with only 48 goals this year. I actually have to give the edge to Florida to win this game as they have a lower Goals against, but I don’t expect much out of either team tonight. Play the under. 12/13/2014 7:05 PM NHL Hockey 8 Toronto Maple Leafs* -1½ +270 vs Detroit Red Wings Risking 1.00 To Win 2.70 (WINNER) 12/13/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 7 Detroit Red Wings/Toronto Maple Leafs* Over 5½ -103 Risking 1.00 To Win 0.97 (Loss) Dare I say that the Toronto Maple Leafs actually resemble a decent team? They are scoring goals at a torrid pace, they have hit the 4 goal mark in 6 of their last 9 games and they are currently the 2nd highest scoring team in the NHL with 94 goals scored. Detroit is close behind with 90 goals scored, these two played a few days ago to a 2-1 draw. I expect the tempo to be much faster in Toronto as the Leafs are a skating team at home. Digging into the numbers a bit, Toronto actually has 63 goals for at home, twice as many as on the road, play the over and Leafs -1.5. NCAAB 12/13/2014 2:00 PM Reduced Basketball 529 St. Bonaventure* +8½ -107 vs Pittsburgh Risking 1.00 To Win 0.93 (WINNER) 12/13/2014 2:00 PM Reduced Basketball 529 St. Bonaventure* +350 vs Pittsburgh Risking 0.50 To Win 1.75 (Loss) 12/13/2014 8:30 PM Reduced Basketball 572 California* -10½ -105 vs Princeton Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (Loss) Lets Get It Rob
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Email: Fri, Dec 12, 2014 at 1:24 PM 12/12/2014 7:05 PM NHL Hockey 52 Pittsburgh Penguins* -½ +150 vs Calgary Flames for 1st Period Risking 1.00 To Win 1.50 (WINNER) This is a situational and stats play. The Penguins are the 2nd best team in the league in the 1st period the Flames are the 5th worst. The Flames have scored a total of 16 first period goals this year while the Penguins have scored 35. The Penguins are also in a spot where I am sure they will want to get a W. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and they are facing a Flames team that is in the middle of a 4 game road trip where they have already lost 2 straight. The Flames are a 2nd and 3rd period team, so I wouldn't be surprised if they fell behind then caught up in the 2nd, but at +150 ill take a shot with the much better team. FYI we should have some more plays for tomorrow with NCAAB, just haven't really liked much yesterday or today. Lets Get It Rob Email: Thu, Dec 11, 2014 at 11:12 AM 12/11/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Basketball 701 Cleveland Cavaliers* +170 vs Oklahoma City Thunder Risking 1.00 To Win 1.70 (Loss) Going with Cleveland today - this is a road underdog system play. We are getting a team with a better record as an underdog. Yes OKC has Durant and Westbrook back, but I still think this is about a 50-50 game, which I will take all day long at +170 lets get it Rob Email: Wed, Dec 10, 2014 at 6:25 AM 12/10/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Basketball 501 Los Angeles Clippers* -6½ -105 vs Indiana Pacers Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER) 12/10/2014 11:00 PM Reduced Basketball 545 Wyoming* +4 -110 vs California Risking 1.00 To Win 0.91 (WINNER) Email: Wed, Dec 10, 2014 at 2:28 PM 12/10/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Hockey 51 Toronto Maple Leafs* +178 vs Detroit Red Wings Risking 1.00 To Win 1.78 (WINNER) This is a solid underdog system play - the Leafs have basically the same record as Detroit There is no reason they should be getting this much respect from the books Lets Get It Rob Email: Mon, Dec 8, 2014 at 8:03 AM 12/8/2014 7:00 PM Reduced Basketball 532 Butler* -24 -105 vs Kennesaw State Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER) Lock this one in early as i think it will keep moving. Butler should have no trouble blowing this one wide open. 93% of the money is on Butler so this will probably move by tip off. Email: Mon, Dec 8, 2014 at 2:07 PM 12/8/2014 8:30 PM Reduced Football 180 Green Bay Packers* -13 -104 vs Atlanta Falcons Risking 1.50 To Win 1.44 (Loss) 12/8/2014 8:30 PM NFL Football 180 Green Bay Packers* -12 +175 vs Atlanta Falcons for 1st Half Risking 0.50 To Win 0.88 (WINNER) Note the 2nd play is a first half bet At home Green Bay is averaging a ridiculous 40.83 points per game. They are undefeated and have outscored their opponents by an average of 23.16 points. This includes game against some solid defenses, who I think are much better than Atlanta. Yes they have won 3 games in a row, but I think that is going to come to an abrupt end tonight when they travel to the frozen tundra of Lambeau field. Matt Ryan doesn’t travel well, and he doesn’t play well outdoors. This is the perfect storm for a Green Bay blowout. I am laying the 13 for the game, and I am going with a half unit on the alternate 1st half spread of -12 at +175 as I like the Packers to put this one away early. Lets Get It Rob Email: Sun, Dec 7, 2014 at 9:11 AM 12/7/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 155 Indianapolis Colts* -3 -103 vs Cleveland Browns Risking 2.00 To Win 1.94 (Loss) Ill take Luck to pick apart the Browns even on the road. I cant imagine Cleveland is focused after the flip flopping between Johny Football and Bryan Hoyer. Lay the field goal for the much better team. 12/7/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 162 New Orleans Saints* -8½ -105 vs Carolina Panthers Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (Loss) Breese finally hit his stride last week, this is still a very good team at home, I have the Saints winning this one by double digits. Cam Newton is not looking good this year, mainly due to his lack of mobility and how bad his offensive line is. 12/7/2014 8:30 PM NFL Football 177 New England Patriots* -3 -125 vs San Diego Chargers Risking 3.00 To Win 2.40 - Buy a half point if needed to get this line down to -3. (WINNER) My play of the day goes to the Patriots, I like them to bounce back and get a win on the road here after losing a hard fought game to Green Bay last week. This difference between last week and this week is that San Diego doesn’t have the same big play ability as Green Bay. Rodgers beat them with up field vertical plays. Where as Rivers picks apart teams with short passes, which I think the Pats will be able to defend easily. Make a 3 unit play here on the Pats to get the road win. Lets Get It Rob Email: Sat, Dec 6, 2014 at 7:17 AM 12/6/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 117 Kansas State* +7 +100 vs Baylor Risking 1.00 To Win 1.00 (Loss) 12/6/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 117 Kansas State* +245 vs Baylor Risking 1.00 To Win 2.45 (Loss) Going with K-State over Baylor 1 unit on the ML and one unit on the Spread. K-State has been one of the best teams under pressure all year. They travel well, as shown by their win over West Virginia, a feat that Baylor could not match. It looks like Bryce Petty will play today, but he hasn’t been in practice all week. The Bears are under a lot of pressure, they need to beat K-State big to have a shot at getting into the final four – and they need some help. K-State is only giving up 19.9 points per game in big 12 play, and they have a great offense putting up 36.6 per game. This line is also showing signs of some sharp money coming in on K-State as the ticket count is even, but the line has dropped from 9 down to 7. Email: Thu, Dec 4, 2014 at 2:37 PM 12/6/2014 8:15 PM Reduced Football 128 Ohio State* +4½ -107 vs Wisconsin Risking 1.00 To Win 0.93 (WINNER) 12/6/2014 8:15 PM Reduced Football 128 Ohio State* +175 vs Wisconsin Risking 1.00 To Win 1.75 (WINNER) Lets Get It Rob Email: Fri, Dec 5, 2014 at 7:29 AM 12/5/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Basketball 803 Oklahoma City Thunder* -12½ -105 vs Philadelphia 76ers Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (Loss) 12/5/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Basketball 803 Oklahoma City Thunder* -18.5 +200 vs Philadelphia 76ers Risking 1.00 To Win 2.00 - Alternate Spread from Bet365 (Loss) First pick I am going with is against the 76ers. They are a young team, and I have a suspicion they went out to party a bit after their first win of the season, which means they probably wont be at full strength today which is already not that strong. Either way they are prime for a let down. They played just barely well enough to beat the Timberwolves and looked terrible for the most part doing it. Now they are up against Thunder who finally have Durant and Westbrook healthy. Durant lost his first game back, I think he steps up and has a huge game start to finish. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the chalk and put an extra unit on the Alt Spread at +200. Lets Get It Rob Email: Thu, Dec 4, 2014 at 1:22 PM 12/4/2014 10:00 PM Reduced Basketball 520 Pepperdine* -7½ -105 vs CS Northridge Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER) 12/4/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Basketball 514 Missouri State* -6½ -109 vs Arkansas Little Rock Risking 1.00 To Win 0.92 (WINNER) Email: Thu, Dec 4, 2014 at 11:58 AM 12/4/2014 8:25 PM NFL Football 101 Dallas Cowboys* -2½ -115 vs Chicago Bears for 1st Half Risking 1.00 To Win 0.87 (WINNER) 12/4/2014 8:25 PM NFL Football 101 Dallas Cowboys* -6½ +170 vs Chicago Bears for 1st Half Risking 1.00 To Win 1.70 (WINNER) NOTE These are BOTH first half bets. For Starters – the Bears are 0-7 in the 1st half against teams with a winning record. They are also being outscored 18.83 to 9.41 in the 1st half overall. That number balloons to an AVERAGE score of 25-6.85 in the 1st half against teams with a winning record. The fact of the matter is the Bears are not a good team and their defense sucks. They are getting blown out so badly in the 1st half that teams lighten up on them in the 2nd half. Bears are 30th against the pass and teams with big receivers have been shredding them this year, just look at what Green Bay, Detroit and New England did to the Bears this year. I really expect Dez Bryant to have a huge game as the Bears secondary doesn't have the size to compete with him. The Bears are decent against the run, but that’s because teams run it in the 2nd half to grind clock and they don’t really try for big plays. The Bears will put up some points, especially for the home crowed in prime time, but in the end they are a much weaker team, their offensive line will give up at least 2 or 3 sacks and I won’t be surprised if Cutler turns it over a couple of times. Looking at the competition both teams have faced this year, the Bears only have one quality win, and it was all the way back in September against San Fran, and I recall they were basically given that game as the 49ers turned it over several times. The Bears haven’t beat a team with a winning record since then and they have lost by at least 13 to every team they have played who has a winning record. I agree the Cowboys should be about a 7 point favorite on a neutral field, but when we look at the Cowboys, they actually play better on the road! They are a perfect 5-0 on the road this year. One additional note – Tony Romo is 15-8 coming off a loss over the last 3 seasons. He looked bad on Thanksgiving, but I think he rebounds tonight as he has had another week to rest his back. Lets Get It Rob |
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