Sports Picker VIP Results for 12-4-2014 (4-0 for +4.44 Units)

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Thu, Dec 4, 2014 at 1:22 PM

12/4/2014 10:00 PM Reduced Basketball 520 Pepperdine* -7½ -105  vs CS Northridge
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER)

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12/4/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Basketball 514 Missouri State* -6½ -109  vs Arkansas Little Rock
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.92  (WINNER)

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Thu, Dec 4, 2014 at 11:58 AM

12/4/2014 8:25 PM NFL Football 101 Dallas Cowboys* -2½ -115  vs Chicago Bears for 1st Half 
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.87 (WINNER)

12/4/2014 8:25 PM NFL Football 101 Dallas Cowboys* -6½ +170  vs Chicago Bears for 1st Half 
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.70 (WINNER)

NOTE These are BOTH first half bets. 

For Starters – the Bears are 0-7 in the 1st half against teams with a winning record. They are also being outscored 18.83 to 9.41 in the 1st half overall. That number balloons to an AVERAGE score of 25-6.85 in the 1st half against teams with a winning record. The fact of the matter is the Bears are not a good team and their defense sucks. They are getting blown out so badly in the 1st half that teams lighten up on them in the 2nd half. 

Bears are 30th against the pass and teams with big receivers have been shredding them this year, just look at what Green Bay, Detroit and New England did to the Bears this year. I really expect Dez Bryant to have a huge game as the Bears secondary doesn't have the size to compete with him. The Bears are decent against the run, but that’s because teams run it in the 2nd half to grind clock and they don’t really try for big plays.

The Bears will put up some points, especially for the home crowed in prime time, but in the end they are a much weaker team, their offensive line will give up at least 2 or 3 sacks and I won’t be surprised if Cutler turns it over a couple of times.  
Looking at the competition both teams have faced this year, the Bears only have one quality win, and it was all the way back in September against San Fran, and I recall they were basically given that game as the 49ers turned it over several times. The Bears haven’t beat a team with a winning record since then and they have lost by at least 13 to every team they have played who has a winning record. I agree the Cowboys should be about a 7 point favorite on a neutral field, but when we look at the Cowboys, they actually play better on the road! They are a perfect 5-0 on the road this year. One additional note – Tony Romo is 15-8 coming off a loss over the last 3 seasons. He looked bad on Thanksgiving, but I think he rebounds tonight as he has had another week to rest his back. 

Lets Get It

Rob

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