Email: Tue, Dec 9, 2014 at 6:13 AM 12/9/2014 9:00 PM Reduced Basketball 758 Iowa* -30½ -105 vs Alcorn State Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (Loss) I like this one to be somewhere in the range of 85-50 - Iowa may get up to 90 if they shoot the 3 ball well.
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Email: Mon, Dec 8, 2014 at 8:03 AM 12/8/2014 7:00 PM Reduced Basketball 532 Butler* -24 -105 vs Kennesaw State Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER) Lock this one in early as i think it will keep moving. Butler should have no trouble blowing this one wide open. 93% of the money is on Butler so this will probably move by tip off. Email: Mon, Dec 8, 2014 at 2:07 PM 12/8/2014 8:30 PM Reduced Football 180 Green Bay Packers* -13 -104 vs Atlanta Falcons Risking 1.50 To Win 1.44 (Loss) 12/8/2014 8:30 PM NFL Football 180 Green Bay Packers* -12 +175 vs Atlanta Falcons for 1st Half Risking 0.50 To Win 0.88 (WINNER) Note the 2nd play is a first half bet At home Green Bay is averaging a ridiculous 40.83 points per game. They are undefeated and have outscored their opponents by an average of 23.16 points. This includes game against some solid defenses, who I think are much better than Atlanta. Yes they have won 3 games in a row, but I think that is going to come to an abrupt end tonight when they travel to the frozen tundra of Lambeau field. Matt Ryan doesn’t travel well, and he doesn’t play well outdoors. This is the perfect storm for a Green Bay blowout. I am laying the 13 for the game, and I am going with a half unit on the alternate 1st half spread of -12 at +175 as I like the Packers to put this one away early. Lets Get It Rob Email: Sun, Dec 7, 2014 at 9:11 AM 12/7/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 155 Indianapolis Colts* -3 -103 vs Cleveland Browns Risking 2.00 To Win 1.94 (Loss) Ill take Luck to pick apart the Browns even on the road. I cant imagine Cleveland is focused after the flip flopping between Johny Football and Bryan Hoyer. Lay the field goal for the much better team. 12/7/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 162 New Orleans Saints* -8½ -105 vs Carolina Panthers Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (Loss) Breese finally hit his stride last week, this is still a very good team at home, I have the Saints winning this one by double digits. Cam Newton is not looking good this year, mainly due to his lack of mobility and how bad his offensive line is. 12/7/2014 8:30 PM NFL Football 177 New England Patriots* -3 -125 vs San Diego Chargers Risking 3.00 To Win 2.40 - Buy a half point if needed to get this line down to -3. (WINNER) My play of the day goes to the Patriots, I like them to bounce back and get a win on the road here after losing a hard fought game to Green Bay last week. This difference between last week and this week is that San Diego doesn’t have the same big play ability as Green Bay. Rodgers beat them with up field vertical plays. Where as Rivers picks apart teams with short passes, which I think the Pats will be able to defend easily. Make a 3 unit play here on the Pats to get the road win. Lets Get It Rob Email: Sat, Dec 6, 2014 at 7:17 AM 12/6/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 117 Kansas State* +7 +100 vs Baylor Risking 1.00 To Win 1.00 (Loss) 12/6/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 117 Kansas State* +245 vs Baylor Risking 1.00 To Win 2.45 (Loss) Going with K-State over Baylor 1 unit on the ML and one unit on the Spread. K-State has been one of the best teams under pressure all year. They travel well, as shown by their win over West Virginia, a feat that Baylor could not match. It looks like Bryce Petty will play today, but he hasn’t been in practice all week. The Bears are under a lot of pressure, they need to beat K-State big to have a shot at getting into the final four – and they need some help. K-State is only giving up 19.9 points per game in big 12 play, and they have a great offense putting up 36.6 per game. This line is also showing signs of some sharp money coming in on K-State as the ticket count is even, but the line has dropped from 9 down to 7. Email: Thu, Dec 4, 2014 at 2:37 PM 12/6/2014 8:15 PM Reduced Football 128 Ohio State* +4½ -107 vs Wisconsin Risking 1.00 To Win 0.93 (WINNER) 12/6/2014 8:15 PM Reduced Football 128 Ohio State* +175 vs Wisconsin Risking 1.00 To Win 1.75 (WINNER) Lets Get It Rob Email: Fri, Dec 5, 2014 at 7:29 AM 12/5/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Basketball 803 Oklahoma City Thunder* -12½ -105 vs Philadelphia 76ers Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (Loss) 12/5/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Basketball 803 Oklahoma City Thunder* -18.5 +200 vs Philadelphia 76ers Risking 1.00 To Win 2.00 - Alternate Spread from Bet365 (Loss) First pick I am going with is against the 76ers. They are a young team, and I have a suspicion they went out to party a bit after their first win of the season, which means they probably wont be at full strength today which is already not that strong. Either way they are prime for a let down. They played just barely well enough to beat the Timberwolves and looked terrible for the most part doing it. Now they are up against Thunder who finally have Durant and Westbrook healthy. Durant lost his first game back, I think he steps up and has a huge game start to finish. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the chalk and put an extra unit on the Alt Spread at +200. Lets Get It Rob Email: Thu, Dec 4, 2014 at 1:22 PM 12/4/2014 10:00 PM Reduced Basketball 520 Pepperdine* -7½ -105 vs CS Northridge Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER) 12/4/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Basketball 514 Missouri State* -6½ -109 vs Arkansas Little Rock Risking 1.00 To Win 0.92 (WINNER) Email: Thu, Dec 4, 2014 at 11:58 AM 12/4/2014 8:25 PM NFL Football 101 Dallas Cowboys* -2½ -115 vs Chicago Bears for 1st Half Risking 1.00 To Win 0.87 (WINNER) 12/4/2014 8:25 PM NFL Football 101 Dallas Cowboys* -6½ +170 vs Chicago Bears for 1st Half Risking 1.00 To Win 1.70 (WINNER) NOTE These are BOTH first half bets. For Starters – the Bears are 0-7 in the 1st half against teams with a winning record. They are also being outscored 18.83 to 9.41 in the 1st half overall. That number balloons to an AVERAGE score of 25-6.85 in the 1st half against teams with a winning record. The fact of the matter is the Bears are not a good team and their defense sucks. They are getting blown out so badly in the 1st half that teams lighten up on them in the 2nd half. Bears are 30th against the pass and teams with big receivers have been shredding them this year, just look at what Green Bay, Detroit and New England did to the Bears this year. I really expect Dez Bryant to have a huge game as the Bears secondary doesn't have the size to compete with him. The Bears are decent against the run, but that’s because teams run it in the 2nd half to grind clock and they don’t really try for big plays. The Bears will put up some points, especially for the home crowed in prime time, but in the end they are a much weaker team, their offensive line will give up at least 2 or 3 sacks and I won’t be surprised if Cutler turns it over a couple of times. Looking at the competition both teams have faced this year, the Bears only have one quality win, and it was all the way back in September against San Fran, and I recall they were basically given that game as the 49ers turned it over several times. The Bears haven’t beat a team with a winning record since then and they have lost by at least 13 to every team they have played who has a winning record. I agree the Cowboys should be about a 7 point favorite on a neutral field, but when we look at the Cowboys, they actually play better on the road! They are a perfect 5-0 on the road this year. One additional note – Tony Romo is 15-8 coming off a loss over the last 3 seasons. He looked bad on Thanksgiving, but I think he rebounds tonight as he has had another week to rest his back. Lets Get It Rob Email: Wed, Dec 3, 2014 at 12:12 PM 12/3/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Basketball 715 Philadelphia 76ers* +7 -105 vs Minnesota Timberwolves Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (WINNER) 12/3/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Basketball 715 Philadelphia 76ers* +260 vs Minnesota Timberwolves Risking 1.00 To Win 2.60 (WINNER) This is a do or die game for the 76ers they are 0-17 on the year, which has them 1 game away from tying the all-time worst start in the history of the NBA – which belongs to the 2009 New Jersey Nets 0-18.Tonight the 76ers are playing the Minnesota Timberwolves who are a team they actually have a great shot at beating, the Wolves are 4-12 on the year and are currently 1-4 over their last 5 games. Minnesota does hold the recent trend in this matchup winning the last 3 home games vs Philly, but they haven't exactly been a great home team this year going just 2-5 on the year so far. The NBA doesn’t have the parity of the NFL, but any team (well almost any team) can win on any given night as these guys are all pros. This is a great spot for Philly to get a win, based on the motivating factor of not wanting to be part of the worst record in history, I think they get it done tonight. On an additional note, their next game is against the Thunder who just got Durant back, so this looks like the game they need to win to avoid the worst start in ever. Lets Get It Rob Email: Tue, Dec 2, 2014 at 9:08 AM 12/2/2014 7:35 PM Reduced Hockey 59 Tampa Bay Lightning* -1½ +155 vs Buffalo Sabres Risking 1.00 To Win 1.55 (Loss) 12/2/2014 7:35 PM Reduced Hockey 59 Tampa Bay Lightning* -2 +235 vs Buffalo Sabres Risking 1.00 To Win 2.35 - Line at Bet365 (Loss) We have the highest scoring team in Hockey playing the lowest scoring team in hockey tonight. To date Tampa has scored 90 goals, for an average of 3.6 goals per game. Buffalo has scored a total of 40 goals for an average of 1.66 goals per game. Tampa is scoring just as many goals on the road as they are at home. They are covering the puck line in 40% of their games 10 out of 25 so far. Buffalo is actually coming into this game off a home win over Montreal. This is a mid-week game, the crowed with probably be fairly thin in Buffalo, so there won’t be much of a home ice advantage. Buffalo has lost 11 of their 24 games by 2 or more. I would say we have a greater than 50% chance of winning the puck line bet and about a 40% chance of winning the -2 bet. It's not often that we get plus money on the puck line when the highest scoring team plays the lowest scoring team in hockey. Take 2 units on the puck line if you cant get the -2 line. Lets Get It Rob Email: Mon, Dec 1, 2014 at 8:22 AM 12/1/2014 8:30 PM Reduced Football 475 Miami Dolphins* -6½ -112 vs New York Jets Risking 2.00 To Win 1.79 (Loss) Lock this in at -6.5 as I wouldn't be surprised if it went back up to 7 by kickoff time. The Public is all over the Dolphins tonight, as this seems to be the year of the public bettor. I have to imagine there is some sharp action coming in on the Jets as they really have nothing to lose tonight, but on the other side of the ball the Dolphins are actually playing for a potential playoff spot. There are currently 5 AFC teams at 7-5, the Dolphins need this win to keep pace. They are up against a Jets team that has been absolutely terrible on both sides of the ball. They managed only 3 points last week vs the Bills. Vick was brutal and got benched for Geno Smith, who we all know is a turnover machine. I just don’t see the Jets having anywhere to turn at the QB position and with Miami playing very solid football I don’t think this is going to be a competitive game. My projection 27-10 Miami. Lets Get It Rob |
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