Email: Thu, Nov 20, 2014 at 9:08 AM This teaser is from 5Dimes. They shade their lines to the underdogs. If you cant get this one then take a teaser to get Oakland +14 and tease up the under. Teaser - ties win - NFL sides 5 pts +101 11/20/2014 8:25 PM NFL Football 110 Oakland Raiders* +14 vs Kansas City Chiefs 11/20/2014 8:25 PM NFL Football 109 Kansas City Chiefs/Oakland Raiders* Under 48 Risking 2.00 To Win 2.02 (WINNER) Note that TIES WIN In this teaser. Take an extra half pt if needed to catch +14 Interesting game tonight as this is a tough spot for the Chiefs. They are coming off a big win vs the defending super bowl champs, now they are up against the 0-10 Raiders. I just can't imagine the Chiefs being focused on this game of being ready to give it their all. The Raiders are in the National Spotlight and you can bet they will be willing to open up the entire playbook to keep this one competitive. They need to give their fans something to cheer about. This has all the makings of a trap game for the Chiefs, I would lean toward the Raiders at +8, but I like the teaser with the under better. Both teams have been consistently cashing unders, and the Sports books have been getting crushed on over plays in prime time games. I think this line is already a bit high at 43. I like it a lot at under 48. The Chiefs havent played a game over 44 since September and the Raiders have averaged only 15.2 points per game. The Chiefs are above average D and i think this game ends up something like 20-13 Chiefs. Lets Get It Rob
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Email: Wed, Nov 19, 2014 at 1:51 PM 11/19/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Basketball 506 Orlando Magic* +5 -105 vs Los Angeles Clippers Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (Loss) 11/19/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Basketball 506 Orlando Magic* +175 vs Los Angeles Clippers Risking 0.50 To Win 0.88 (Loss) This is a home dog system play. We are getting great odds on a home team with a comparable record. Both teams come into this game with 5 wins, both teams are very similar in shooting %, rebounds and point differential. The Clippers are not the same team they were last year, and I think the public is still giving them more credit than they deserve. Also I think Orlando is underrated, as they have played some very good games recently and been great ATS. The Magic have won or been within 5 points in all of their last 5 games, including games vs Washington and Toronto, both of who I think are better than the Clippers this year. The Clippers are also coming off a brutal loss and have a long cross country plane ride before this one. I also looked at the public betting and there is almost 80% on the Clippers yet the line hasn’t moved from 5. I like the value we are getting here with a home dog, going with the ML and the points. 11/19/2014 7:35 PM Reduced Basketball 516 Toronto Raptors* -4 ½ -107 vs Memphis Grizzlies Risking 1.50 To Win 1.40 Line at Pinnacle (Loss) This is going to be a statement game for the Raptors. They come into this one on 3 days rest which is a very rare treat. They have the “We the NORTH” home crowed behind them and they are playing the 1st place team from the West. I have personally been to a few Raps games already this year and the atmosphere is unreal. I think they will ride the crowed to another convincing 7 or 8 point win tonight. Lets Get It Rob Email: Tue, Nov 18, 2014 at 2:31 PM 11/18/2014 8:00 PM College Football 104 Ohio* +105 vs Northern Illinois Risking 2.00 To Win 2.10 (Loss) We missed some of the value here, as this line dropped from about +130 earlier today, but I am still going to recommend we make a play on the money line. There has been a TON of sharp action in on Ohio today. I took notice when I saw the line start dropping from the open of +4 down to +2.5 an hour ago and now +1. When we look at these two teams its no surprise the sharps are on Ohio, they have played a much tougher schedule overall. When we look at the matchups both teams have played the results have been very very similar, which bodes well for the home team getting a win here. The public likes NIU as they have a better overall record, but Ohio is just as good at home. 11/18/2014 10:35 PM Reduced Hockey 71 Florida Panthers/Los Angeles Kings* Under 5 -120 Risking 1.50 To Win 1.25 (Loss) Going with the under in this one, both teams have hot goal tenders and play a very defensive style of hockey. Florida will look to slow things down on the road. I like this one to be a 2-1 type game. Lets Get It Rob Email: Mon, Nov 17, 2014 at 11:53 AM 11/17/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Basketball 501 Denver Nuggets/Cleveland Cavaliers* Under 216½ -105 Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (WINNER) This one opened at 217 and has seen some action already to the under, I could see it dropping another point by tip off time. I think the total here was inflated due to some of the recent games both teams have played with up-tempo opponents, the Cavs vs NO and Boston and Denver vs Portland, all of which had very high final scores. I have noticed that when Cleveland turns it on – usually in the 3rd or 4th quarter they tend to play harder d which limits the opponents scoring and slows the game down. Denver also hasn’t been traveling very well this year, where they average a full 6.1 points less on the road than at home. Neither of these teams is scoring enough to warrant a total this high, so I am taking the under. Lets Get It Rob Email: Sun, Nov 16, 2014 at 8:49 AM 11/16/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 458 Kansas City Chiefs* -1 -105 vs Seattle Seahawks Risking 3.00 To Win 2.86 (WINNER) These two teams are going in opposite directions. I also think the public is still trailing in reacting to how good KC is. Seattle just isn’t the same team they were last year, I don’t think they have the confidence and we all know they don’t play as well on the road. Chiefs get a W today. 11/16/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 462 New Orleans Saints* -7 -110 vs Cincinnati Bengals Risking 1.00 To Win 0.91 (Loss) 11/16/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 462 New Orleans Saints* -13.5 +210 vs Cincinnati Bengals Risking 1.00 To Win 2.10 (Loss) I really like the Saints to bounce back at home here. I think this line would be closer to 10 if the Saints hadn’t lost at home last weekend. Cincinnati is another team that doesn’t travel well and I really don’t think Dalton will be able to keep up with a Saints offense that is clearly angry after a home loss. Take the -7 and another unit on the Alternate Spread. Lets Get It Rob Email: Sun, Nov 16, 2014 at 12:13 PM 11/16/2014 8:30 PM Reduced Football 474 Indianapolis Colts* -3 -105 vs New England Patriots Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (Loss) I am going with 2 units on the Colts tonight. Andrew Luck has been very impressive and I think the Patriots are due for a let down. The Pats are not as good on the road, and they have a lot of injuries to deal with on both sides of the Ball. Luck as been on fire this year breaking all kinds of records, I think he shows up big time in a prime time game, he's due for a win vs the Pats. Lets Get It Rob Email: Fri, Nov 14, 2014 at 8:27 AM 11/15/2014 8:00 PM College Football 363 LSU/Arkansas* Under 48½ -110 Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (WINNER) This weeks free pick is an under play. This game is going to feature in excess of 90% run plays. That means the clock is going to keep moving and we are likely to see a fairly fast game. Both teams play solid defense, and I like this to be a close one. Email: Sat, Nov 15, 2014 at 8:32 AM 11/15/2014 12:00 PM Reduced Football 339 Clemson* -2½ -105 vs Georgia Tech Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (Loss) 11/15/2014 6:00 PM College Football 355 Utah* +10 -120 vs Stanford Risking 2.00 To Win 1.67 (WINNER) 11/14/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 54 Philadelphia Flyers* -1½ +150 vs Columbus Blue Jacket Risking 2.00 To Win 3.00 (Loss) I really like this play as Philly has been a fantastic team to take at home both last year and so far this year. They are a different team on home ice, looking at their goals for at home they average 3.6 while on the road they only average 2.6. Combine that with how bad Columbus has been overall and especially on the road and we have a very solid puck line system play here. Columbus has been just destroyed by injuries and they have lost 9 straight games, and lost 7 of those 9 by 2 or more goals. This play only needs to win 40% of the time to break even with a payout of +150. If we look at columbus' last 10 games they have lost by 2 or more 7 times. This includes losing to teams like Carolina who are no where near as good as the Flyers. Philly has won 5 straight at home and covered the puck line in 3 of those wins. They have played teams like Edmonton and Florida who I put about on par with Columbus right now, and covered the puck line with no trouble. Overall I give this play an over 60% chance of winning which means this is a very profitable long run play. Lock it In Lets Get It Rob Email: Thu, Nov 13, 2014 at 12:59 PM Teaser - ties win - NFL sides 6 pts (-115) 11/13/2014 8:00 PM College Football 313 Southern Mississippi* +14 vs Texas San Antonio 11/13/2014 8:00 PM College Football 313 Southern Mississippi/Texas San Antonio* Under 53 Risking 2.00 To Win 1.74 (WINNER) The key with this teaser is to get Southern Mississippi at +14 as a winner. Both teams have been terrible on offense. UTSA has been especially bad, they come into this game averaging 16.8 points per game, and only 12 points per game at home. Southern Mississippi can’t score either as they average only 19.4 points per game. This one has under written all over it, and I’ll take the points with USM and tease it with the under here. 11/13/2014 8:25 PM Reduced Football 309 Buffalo Bills/Miami Dolphins* Under 41 -105 Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (WINNER) I have to go with the under in tonight’s game. Both of these teams play defense first. Buffalo is 8th against the run and 7th against the pass. The key comes when we look at how they have played against other teams with good pass defense. They have played 3 of the top 4 pass teams in pass defense since switching to Kyle Orton. When the played KC (1st) they scored 13, when they played Minnesota (4th) they scored 17, when they played Detroit (2nd) they scored only 17. All 3 games went well under the total. They are now playing Miami who is the other team in the top 4 and I expect Orton to struggle again. I would be making the play on Miami, but Ryan Tannehill got banged up last week and I am a bit worried about his health going into this game, plus they lost their probowl left tackle Brandon albert for the season, all the more reason to play the under as we should see lots of punts in this one. Lets Get It Rob Email: Wed, Nov 12, 2014 at 12:55 PM 11/12/2014 9:05 PM Reduced Basketball 715 Brooklyn Nets* +175 vs Phoenix Suns Risking 1.00 To Win 1.75 (Loss) Going with a Road Dog play here, the Nets have been the hotter team lately beating some good opposition, on the road. Brooklyn comes into this game winning 4 of their last 5. Phoenix has struggled against some mediocre teams including a loss to Utah and a very close game with the Lakers. This is a classic road dog system play, which has worked very well for us over the years. Conditional NHL Play – Rask must start for Boston 11/12/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Hockey 51 Boston Bruins* -1½ +240 vs Toronto Maple Leafs Risking 1.00 To Win 2.40 (Loss) This one qualifies for my Bruins road puckline system. The Leafs have always struggled against the Bruins including their last home game a 4-1 loss. NOTE I am only making this play if Rask is in net for Boston. He is expected to start, but officially a game time decision. I have much more confidents in the Bruins with Rask in net, so make your play accordingly. I would wait until closer to puckdrop to find out for sure. If you can’t check, just pass on this one. Lets Get It Rob Email: Sports Picker VIP Plays for 11-11-2014 11/11/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 5 Pittsburgh Penguins* -140 vs New York Rangers Risking 1.00 To Win 0.71 (Loss) 11/11/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 5 Pittsburgh Penguins* -1½ +215 vs New York Rangers Risking 1.00 To Win 2.15 Only going with one play in the NHL tonight, the Penguins are on a 7 game win streak, they have the momentum and they have outscored opponents by a margin of 32-8 over that 7 game streak. The Rangers are headed the other way they have dropped 4 of 5 games and been outscored 17-12 over that span including a loss to Edmonton. The Penguins have been a puck line machine this year, cashing 9 so far in only 13 games. The value is on Pittsburgh and especially on the puck line at +215 Lets Get It Rob |
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