Fri, Sep 5, 2014 at 1:38 PM
9/6/2014 6:30 PM College Football 351 Michigan State* +14 -120 vs Oregon
Risking 2.50 To Win 2.08 (Loss)
9/6/2014 6:30 PM Reduced Football 351 Michigan State* +420 vs Oregon
Risking 0.50 To Win 2.10 (Loss)
This should be the game of the week in CFB. Michigan State is an excellent team and in many ways mirrors the Stanford team that beat Oregon last year. Speaking of last season, Michigan State went 12-1 last year, and having watched the game they lost to Notre Dame, they would have won if not for a few botched calls by the refs, which would have put them at 13-0 and given them a direct line to the National Championship. They have plenty of starters back, Connor Cook is playing solid and the defense is firing on all cylinders. Oregon historically has fits with teams that have defenses like Michigan State. I love the fact that we can get this game up to 14 points at -120 in a game that I see being very close. Oregon just isn't the same team without head coach chip Kelly and looking at how they fell apart at the end of last season, I really don't think they deserve the #3 ranking they currently hold. This one should fall well within the number and I give Michigan State about a 50% change of winning this game in a close one.
Note: This line is at +12 on a lot of books right now but sitting at +13.5 on 5Dimes the Money Line spread is even more dramatic it's at +375 on Bet365 but +420 on 5Dimes Reduced. If you don't have a 5Dimes account, I highly recommend you open one for this College Ball Season or you will be leaving a lot of money on the table.
Sat, Sep 6, 2014 at 7:57 AM
9/6/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 324 Temple* +3 +100 vs Navy
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.00 (Loss)
9/6/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 324 Temple* +145 vs Navy
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.45 (Loss)
Short write up here. This one is a very evenly matched game, I really give it a coin flip and I have to take the home team in this kind of situation. Especially when we are getting plus money and 3 points against an option offence
9/6/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 377 Virginia Tech* +12 -110 vs Ohio State
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (WINNER)
Ohio St came very close to not covering vs Navy last week and they definitely are not the same team without Braxton Miller. Today they are facing one of the top defenses they will face all year. Look at what Michigan St did to them last, bottom line is they struggle against good strong D ;-).
The Hokies are no pushover, looking at their performance all year last year they step up for the big games and play a very solid methodical game on both sides of the ball.
The books are being too generous here. I like VA Tech to cover and maybe even make this interesting down the stretch.
9/6/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 340 Stanford* -3 -102 vs USC
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.96 (Loss)
I am adding one more play to today's card. I have to take Stanford at home here. They will be out for revenge after losing the close one to USC last year and i like them to ride the home Field advantage to a win today. Stanford wasn't really tested last week but showed up big with a dominant 45-0 win over UC Davis. The main thing i wanted to see from that game was a commitment to solid defence and we got that.
USC got a solid win over a Fresno State team that is lost without Carr. The one thing that i was surprised about was the amount of ground game they went with. I dont see them having the same kind of success with that approach vs Stanford today.
Last years matchup between these two could have gone either way but USC got the upper hand. I think this one comes down to who controls the line of scrimmage, which i give the advantage to Stanford.
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