Sports Picker VIP Results for 9-21-2014 (6-2 for +8.18 Units)

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Tue, Sep 16, 2014 at 3:31 PM

Lock this one in now as I am already seeing the line on the Atlanta game start to move.
Teaser: Football Mixed 2 Team 6 Pt Teaser (-110)

Selection : 1
NFL Football for Game Atlanta Falcons 18-September-2014 5:25 PM PST
Handicap pk for Game   

Selection : 2
NFL Football for Game Kansas City Chiefs 21-September-2014 1:25 PM PST
Handicap +10.5 for Game  

Risking 2.00 to Win 1.82 (WINNER)

Just to confirm we are using a 6 point teaser to get Atlanta at a PK and we are getting Kansas City up to +10.5. This is a great teaser, it crosses a bunch of key numbers on both sides and looking at the match ups I really like how both Atlanta and KC look this week.

Lock it in now before the line moves. FYI this line is from Pinnacle. 

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Fri, Sep 19, 2014 at 4:26 PM

Teaser - ties reduce - NFL sides 6 pts 

Wager

1. 9/21/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 451 San Diego Chargers/Buffalo Bills* Under 52 
2. 9/21/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 455 Washington Redskins* +13  vs Philadelphia Eagles

Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (WINNER)

This one crosses a slew of key number for Washington, I actually think Washington has a very good chance of winning this game, give me 13 points and I say we have over an 80% chance of a win here, Kirk Cousins is actually the better quarterback, I just don't think the public realizes this yet. I am also huge on the Washington Defense this year, another thing that not many people have caught onto yet. Philly has one of the worst home field advantages in all of the NFL, and they are coming off 2 games where the made up some serious ground on teams that didn't have very strong D, Washington is 3rd against the pass and 4th against the rush, this isn't going to be an easy game.

Looking at the other game I am on both Buffalo to win (Below) and the under 52.

This is let down time for San Diego, they just got a huge win vs Seattle and they are now doing the dreaded West to East 1PM game. San Diego doesnt travel well to the East coast and I still think Buffalo is an way better team than the public gives them credit for. 

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9/21/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 452 Buffalo Bills* -2½ -110  vs San Diego Chargers
Risking 2.00  To Win 2.00 (Loss)

Going with Buffalo to get one more home game win before they head out on the road here. This is a classic let down game for the Chargers on the road after beating the defending superbowl champs. Its gonna be a grind getting up for a 10am game on the road in the rain this week, take the home team

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Sun, Sep 21, 2014 at 8:48 AM

9/21/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 460 New Orleans Saints* -10 +100  vs Minnesota Vikings
Risking 2.00 To Win 2.00 (WINNER)

This one has blowout written all over it. The Saints need this win bad, and the Vikings are falling apart without Palmer or Peterson. The Saints have one of the strongest home field advantages in all of Sports, as evident by a -10 spread for a  winless team. Lay the chalk and take the Saints at home. 

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9/21/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 453 Dallas Cowboys* -120  vs St. Louis Rams
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.83 (WINNER)

Dallas showed they actually can win last week, and the key for their success is a ground and pound game with Murray, then play action shots down field. NOTE this is a 1 unit play as both Romo and Bryant are a little banged up. They should be playing but are not at 100%. ALSO NOTE This is a ML play. 

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9/21/2014 4:25 PM Reduced Football 474 Seattle Seahawks* -4 -105  vs Denver Broncos
Risking 4.00 To Win 3.81 (WINNER)

The Broncos couldn't get it done in New York against the Seahawks, I don't expect they will be able to get it done in Seattle either. Seattle is coming off a loss, which means they will be extra focused this week. There are entire NFL systems built around taking winning teams coming off a loss. The books are giving Denver too much respect, they have beefed up their defense but I still don't see it being able to compete with Seattle.  With the home field advantage they should be able to get it done vs a Broncos team they picked apart last year. 

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9/21/2014 4:05 PM Reduced Football 471 San Francisco 49ers/Arizona Cardinals* Under 41 -105 
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (WINNER)

Taking the under here, both of these teams have solid D and the offense has been questionable. This one has a smashmouth football game written all over it. Play the under. 

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9/21/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Baseball 907 Cincinnati Reds/St. Louis Cardinals* Under 7 -115 
A Simon - R Listed   L Lynn - R Listed
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.74 (Loss)

We have been riding the unders with Lynn very profitably lately. I also like Simon to have a good game today. St Louis at home under are one of my favorite plays. Lock it in.


Lets Get It

Rob

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