Sports Picker VIP Results for 8-19-2014 (1-2 for +.10 Units)

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Tue, Aug 19, 2014 at 10:29 AM

8/19/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Baseball 953 Arizona Diamondbacks* +1½ -109  vs Washington Nationals
C Anderson - R Listed   S Strasburg - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.92 (Loss)

8/19/2014 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 953 Arizona Diamondbacks* +215  vs Washington Nationals
C Anderson - R Listed   S Strasburg - R Listed Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 2.15 (Loss)

I am going with Arizona on both the + Run line and the ML today. This is a road dog system play. We are getting a pitcher with a better record in Anderson at 7-4 on the year ERA 3.16 and Arizona has won 9 of his 15 starts this year, compared to Strasburg who comes in at 9-10 on the year ERA 3.53. Strasburg has lost 4 of his last 6 starts on top of that. While  the D-Backs have won 4 of Andersons last 6 starts.

If we look at the ML wins and losses Anderson is up +487 and Strasburg is -615 on the year.

I don't normally take +1.5 run lines but looking at the recent performance makes this a safer play.

7 of Arizona's last 8 games have been decided by 1 run.  

Washington has been on a win streak, but it hasn't been convincing they have won 5 of their last 6 games by 1 run.

I actually like Arizona to win this one tonight, and with the added bonus of getting the +1.5 for basically even money we are taking both lines.

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8/19/2014 10:05 PM Reduced Baseball 980 Oakland Athletics* -1½ +105  vs New York Mets
D Gee - R Listed   S Kazmir - L Listed
Risking 2.00 To Win 2.10 (WINNER)

I like a return home and a day off to be just what Oakland needs to break out of this funk. Looking at this year they have covered the run line in 10 of 15 games after returning home with a day off after a loss. They are also starting their Ace in Kazmir who hasn't lost 2 straight games since June.

Looking at recent team stats even with the losing streak Oakland is clearly the dominate scoring team. Since the All Star break Oakland is averaging 4.52 runs per game, good for 5th overall. Compare that to the Mets who are dead last in the MLB at 2.96 runs per game. Give me the plus money on the highest scoring team in baseball tonight.

Lets Get It

Rob

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