Sports Picker VIP Results for 11-8-2014 (2-3 for -1.37 Units)

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Fri, Nov 7, 2014 at 1:43 PM

11/8/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 188 Michigan State* -3 -125  vs Ohio State
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.60 (Loss)

11/8/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 188 Michigan State* -9 ½ +175  vs Ohio State
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.75 – Alternate Spread from Bet365 (Loss)

I think this is going to be a statement game for MSU. This is for all intensive purposes an elimination game for the final 4 playoff. Neither of these teams have played a quality opponent lately. The big difference here is that Michigan State has way more senior talent, and they get to play this huge game at home. This is a night game, in a prime time slot, Ohio State has a freshman QB who will be playing in the biggest game of his life to date, I really don’t see him being able to hold up under the pressure. I love MSU to cover here and potentially win this one big. Note I am buying the -3.5 line down to -3 for 2 units then I am taking the -9.5 line for 1 unit. I think this game will play out like the Big10 Championship game last year where MSU beat Ohio State 34-24. Michigan State is comparable this year, and I think Ohio State is much weaker. My projection MSU 38 Ohio State 24.

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11/8/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 191 Notre Dame* +128  vs Arizona State
Risking 2.00 To Win 2.56 (Loss)

I am going with 2 unit underdog play on Notre Dame here, I have them rated as a far superior team on both sides of the ball. They have played with some of the top teams in the FBS including a game vs Florida state that they should have won. Arizona State is 6-1 but I really don’t think they deserve to be, they have fluked their way through a couple of games, including the game vs USC that they had no business winning on a hail marry at the end of the game. I could easily see ND rolling this game by 20 points just as UCLA did.

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Sat, Nov 8, 2014 at 12:24 PM

11/8/2014 10:00 PM Reduced Football 193 Oregon* -9 ½ -111  vs Utah
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.80 – Best line at Pinnacle (WINNER)

This is Marcus Mariota’s final  year at Oregon. He came back for one reason, to win a championship. They got the Stanford win last week, and I really think they have what it takes to roll Utah this week. For me this game comes down to the fact that Oregon is just faster and better, both on the ground with their run speed, and through the air with Mariota’s passing attack. Oregon will put up points and I just don’t think Utah will be able to keep up. I missed getting this out at -8 this morning and there has been a ton of sharp money coming in on Oregon. We really don’t lose much value between -8 and -9.5 so we still have a play here. FYI you can also look to Utah’s lack of ability to score, I just don’t see them being able to dominate the Oregon Defense enough to keep up, they are going to need some major turnovers to compete in this one.

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11/8/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 53 Pittsburgh Penguins* -1½ -109  vs Buffalo Sabres
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.83 (WINNER)

I will be the first to admit we have had a frustrating week in the NHL, we had another winner slip away after the Ducks let a 2 goal lead slide away all in 53 seconds in the 2nd period last night. But even with those tough losses we are still only down 1.98 units in the NHL this week, and I think we have a great shot of getting most of it back here. The Penguins have everything going for them in this game and should have no trouble at all winning this one by at least 2 goals, and likely a lot more. Buffalo isn’t scoring and they can’t stop teams from scoring on them. Every stat points to this being one of those games that resembles an NHL team playing a peewee team. Take the Penguins on the Puck line for 2 units.

Lets Get It

Rob

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