Fri, Nov 21, 2014 at 1:29 PM
11/21/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 4 Pittsburgh Penguins* -1½ +175 vs New York Islanders
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.75 (Loss)
My math shows we have a 42%-50% chance of winning this one based on both teams records thus far this year, which means we should only be getting about +150 on the puck line. Pittsburgh has been outscoring opponents like crazy, they average 3.65 goals per game and have covered the puck line in 10 of their 17 games this year. NY has been up and down, and lost by 2 or more 5 times so far. Important to note that 4 of those 5 losses by 2 or more goals have come on the road.
11/21/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 5 Boston Bruins* -117 vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.85 (WINNER)
11/21/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 5 Boston Bruins* -1½ +245 vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Risking 1.00 To Win 2.45 (Loss)
We have another system play here on the ML and PL. Boston hasn’t been as explosive as they were last year, but they are still covering the puck line in 35% of their games, combine that with the fact that Columbus is losing 50% of their games by 2 or more and we have another solid statistical puck line play here. Based on the math we should be getting about -140 on the ML and +150 on the Puck line, but we have much better odds so we have another solid play.
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Author - Rob Holiday
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