Fri, Oct 31, 2014 at 4:01 PM
11/1/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 368 Kansas State* -12½ -105 vs Oklahoma State
Risking 3.00 To Win 2.86 (WINNER)
This on is one of my favorite plays of this weekend. We are getting Kansas State at home with a spread of less than 2 TDs. So far this year they have dominated teams at home (with the exception of the Auburn game which they shot them selves in the foot). Oklahoma state has been blown out 2 weeks in a row by West Virginia and TCU. In those two games combined they were outscored 76-19. They scored 9 and 10 points, and things don’t get any easier in this one as the K-State Defense is just as good as WVU or TCU. Oklahoma State has never been the same team on the road, and I really don’t like their chances of keeping this one close at all.
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (WINNER)
This line finally opened at -5 today. The books were holding out for more info on Texas Tech QB Davis Webb, but it doesn’t look like they are going to get it. He is officially listed as questionable. Based on how banged up he looked last week vs TCU I would say his chances of playing are below 15%. He was helped off the field with crutches last week and I really can’t see him being able to dance around in the pocket against a quality Texas defense in a rivalry game. Webb’s replacement Patrick Mahomes was terrible last week, after coming in during the 3rd quarter he went 5/11 for a total of only 45 yards. I do expect a week of practice to help, but Texas should have no trouble rolling this banged up Red Raiders team. Additionally Texas has forced 14 turnovers this year, including 11 interceptions, Texas Tech, also has 18 turnovers, so the combination should spell trouble for a young inexperienced QB in his first real start of the season.
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (Loss)
11/1/2014 3:30 PM College Football 391 TCU/West Virginia* Over 36 -110 for 1st Half
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (Loss)
This spread line has been all over the map, it opened at -5 then jumped to -6 now its back down to -3.5. I honestly liked it from the beginning as I just think TCU is the better all around team. West Virginia is a powerful opponent especially at home and they already have a quality win over Baylor, but when you look at the difference between TCU and Baylor it hindges on the QB. Trevon Boykin is an extremely elusive playmaker. That is the key difference between he and Bryce Petty of Baylor. Boykin is a scrambler who can pocket pass if needed. West Virgina found already used their lightning bolt this year when they beat Baylor, I don’t see them being able to find that again here against a TCU team that is clearly focused on making the 4 team playoff. I expect this one to be close for the first half or so then TCU should pull away. I also like this one to go well over the 36 total for the 1st half. You may want to make a 1 unit play on over 36 now and wait for the alternate lines to open up tomorrow. I would take it as high as 42 for the 1st half and get some additional plus money payout.
Risking 2.00 To Win 4.80 (Loss)
I am making a rare 2 unit underdog money line play here. UCLA has looked terrible this year, they haven’t shown me anything that makes me believe they can keep up with a very, VERY good Arizona team. Arizona beat Oregon at Oregon, they know how to win on the road, and UCLA hasn’t looked good at home, which is where they lost to both Oregon and Utah. I am actually very surprised UCLA is favored in this game, they nearly lost to Colorado last week. Play the Dog for a shot at a huge plus money payday.
Risking 1.00 To Win 2.30 (Loss)
I have to go in for another shot on an underdog against Michigan. This one could go either way, it really depends on how many turnovers Michigan commits. They haven’t been good at home this year, the Wolverines have lost 4 of their last 5 including 2 of their last 3 at home. Indiana is a sneaky good team that we all know relies heavily on the run. If the weather is bad, as it is expected to be, this could be a very close game. I am going with 1 unit on the plus money underdog.
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