Sports Picker VIP Results for 10-5-2014 (1-4 for -5.18 Units)

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Tue, Sep 30, 2014 at 12:28 PM

10/5/2014 8:30 PM NFL Football 475 Cincinnati Bengals* -1 -110  vs New England Patriots
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (Loss)

Lock this in now. I am not sure if I will leave it open, but I am willing to bet that the public is going to be all over betting against the Patriots after last night's performance, so this line will move up to probably -3 for Cincinnati. Lock it in now, I confirm or recommend a hedge later in the week.
 

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Thu, Oct 2, 2014 at 12:15 PM

Wager 2 Team 6 Point Teaser (-110)

1.            10/2/2014 8:25 PM NFL Football 302 Green Bay Packers* -1½  vs Minnesota Vikings

2.            10/5/2014 4:25 PM NFL Football 474 San Diego Chargers* -½  vs New York Jets

Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (WINNER)

Depending on the book they may shade the teaser lines to make this less profitable. See if you can find it at the same rate. If not, the key thing to make this bet work is to get Green Bay at -2.5 or better. You want to cross the key number of 3, if you have to go with a 6.5 point teaser to get it at -2.5 that's fine too, I looked around and San Diego is still offered at -6.5 or -7 most places so that works fine. 

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Sun, Oct 5, 2014 at 8:48 AM

10/5/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 455 St. Louis Rams* +4½ -108  vs Philadelphia Eagles
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.85 (Loss)

This play just had a big reverse line move, which means the smart money is on the Rams today.  The line was at 6 this morning, there is 73% of the public money outstanding on Philly, yet the line just dropped to 4.5. When we see these negative line moves it indicates there are huge bets pouring in on the Rams. This usually indicates there's an edge or some kind of info that the public isn't aware of.  Ill side with the smart money and take a shot on the Rams today.

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10/5/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 464 Detroit Lions* -5 -105  vs Buffalo Bills
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (Loss)

This line has been bouncing around between -4.5 and -6 today, I like it if you can get it at about -5. The Lions have a great Defense, they match up well against the Buffalo run game, and today they will be facing Kyle Orton who likely will not know the entire play book. So when it gets to 3rd and long they will be very limited in their play calling. I like fading  QB in his first week into a new system. Play the Lions. 

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10/5/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 461 Houston Texans* +235  vs Dallas Cowboys
Risking 1.00 To Win 2.35 (Loss)

I am taking a 1 unit shot on the underdog here. I still think the Cowboys are way over rated. They have been playing well above where they should be for the talent they have on the team. Today they are up against a very good Texans Defense who will stuff the run game effectively as we saw when they went up against Buffalo. There is no way Romo has another game as good as the one he had against the saints. At over 2 to 1 I love the odds we are getting on the Texans here.

Lets Get It

Rob

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