Thu, Oct 30, 2014 at 5:56 AM
10/30/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 1 Boston Bruins* -1½ +130 vs Buffalo Sabres
Risking 2.00 To Win 2.60 (Loss)
This is our first 2 unit play of the NHL season. I am going with Boston -1.5 over Buffalo. Buffalo has been terrible this year and the only thing worse than their overall record is their record at home. They are 2-8 overall and 0-4 on home ice. Boston is averaging over 2 goals more per game than Buffalo and they are allowing 1.14 goals less per game. If this were an NFL spread it would be 3… but we are getting it at -1.5 for plus money. Boston has covered the puck line in 3 of their 8 games so far, including a 4-0 win over Buffalo. On the year Buffalo is allowing 3.3 goals for every 1 they score. This one is a very lopsided match up.
For now I am not making a play on the Thursday night NFL game. If anything changes I will send an email, I don't see much value in the line at 3.
NCAA I am watching the Florida State game to try an figure out what is going on there, there has been a huge reverse line move from -7 down to -3.5 with over 70% of the public on Florida state... this indicates there is a LOT of smart money bets on Louisville pushing the line from +7 down to +3.5. The obvious Square play would be to take Florida State but someone knows something here so I am probably going to avoid this game as I haven't been able to figure out the angle yet.
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