Sports Picker VIP Results for 10-3-2014 (2-2 for +1.17 Units)

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Fri, Oct 3, 2014 at 11:13 AM

10/3/2014 3:05 PM MLB Baseball 905 San Francisco Giants* +170  vs Washington Nationals
J Peavy - R Listed   S Strasburg - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.70 (WINNER)

10/3/2014 3:05 PM MLB Baseball 905 San Francisco Giants* -1½ +260  vs Washington Nationals
J Peavy - R Listed   S Strasburg - R Listed
Risking 0.50 To Win 1.30 (Loss)

I am adding another play here. I think the Giants are going to steal one of these games, looking at Strasburg, he hasn't been as consistent as I would like to see this year. He has pitched well lately, but with the odds we are getting here the value play is on the Giants. 

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Fri, Oct 3, 2014 at 8:27 AM

10/3/2014 12:05 PM MLB Baseball 909 Detroit Tigers* -102  vs Baltimore Orioles for 1st 5 Innings 
J Verlander - R Listed   W Chen - L Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.47 (WINNER)

NOTE - This is a first 5 Inning play

Looing back at this season Veerlander hasn't been his usual self, too much in the media with his Girlfriend and not focused on baseball. But I still think deep down he is the same guy that won the Cy Young, and this is his chance to show that.

Looking at his final few games leading into the post season he looked extremely focused going 8 innings vs Chicago white sox with only 1 run allowed. He was also starting against Chris Sale in this one and having watched the game, there were a few instances where he was clearly amped up. I this this is the same guy we see here today.  He also pitched very well against KC the game before going 7.1 innings only allowing 1 run, which he actually left on 2nd and the you guessed it, bull pen let him down.

This is the main reason I am going with the 1st half line in this one. Detroit has the worst bullpen in the playoffs, and I just don't trust them to close this one out. If this is close down the stretch, I definitely give the advantage to Baltimore.

Looking at Baltimore, Chen has pitched well this year, but he has also been lit up a few times, and looking at recent trends it's the exact opposite of Veerlander, Chen limped into the playoffs losing his last 2 games.  Facing a team with the offensive power of Detroit, I have to take the Tigers to get a few runs, in what really amounts to a must win game for them. 

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10/3/2014 9:35 PM Reduced Baseball 912 Los Angeles Angels* -1½ +140  vs Kansas City Royals
Y Ventura - R Listed   M Shoemaker - R Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 2.10 (Loss)

For our 2nd play of the day I am going right back to the Angels on the run line. I watched the game last night and they played well, they just got robbed by a few crazy defensive plays by KC.

Looking at this pitching matchup, I love Shoemaker, yes he is coming off the oblique injury, but to be honest, I think he was ready a week ago, the Angels just didn't  wanted to give him some extra rest so he would be ready for tonight. KC hands the ball to Ventura who has been good but not great, he has a brutal outing vs the White Sox where he only last 4 innings, in his last official start, he also got banged up for 2 runs in his bullpen appearance vs Oakland... not something to build the confidence heading into a playoff start on the road.

The Angels will bounce back and I like them to get a big multi-run win tonight. 

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