Sat, Oct 25, 2014 at 7:38 AM
10/25/2014 12:00 PM Reduced Football 125 Minnesota U* -5 -102 vs Illinois
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.96 (Loss)
This line has dropped a bit and I am going to lock it in at -5 on Minnesota. I think that people are giving Illinois too much credit for this homecoming game. Matchup wise my systems don’t have them matching up well against Minnesota. Minnesota plays a very run oriented game, they rank 25th overall in Rushing at 222.4 yards per game. I think the books have this line so close as they struggle in overall offense, but is that an effect or a result of the rushing? My thoughts are that they chew clock and keep the scores low. Gophers have a great Passing defense and I like them to get some turnovers and hold the Illinois passing game in check, especially without starting QB Wes Lunt. Reilly O’Toole will be stepping in and he didn’t look great last week, against an experienced Gophers pass D I think this could be a very long day.
Mon, Oct 20, 2014 at 5:45 AM
10/25/2014 3:30 PM College Football 168 Michigan State* -17 -107 vs Michigan
Risking 3.00 To Win 2.80 Best line at Pinnacle (WINNER)
Lock this one in now. Michigan will not be able to compete with State this year. This one will likely go much the same way as the Notre Dame game and end up in a blowout shutout or something close to it. Lock in the 17 points. I may take an additonal unit when the alternate lines come out. Last year this was a 29-6 blowout, I think State has a better team this year, and I actually think the Wolverines are worse... 31-0 sounds about right. Load up on state before the line moves.
Sat, Oct 25, 2014 at 7:52 AM
10/25/2014 12:00 PM Reduced Football 141 Maryland* +10 -108 vs Wisconsin
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.92 (Loss)
10/25/2014 12:00 PM Reduced Football 141 Maryland* +328 vs Wisconsin
Risking 1.00 To Win 3.28 (Loss)
I am adding an underdog play here. Lots of Sharp money coming in on Maryland, I was eying this one all week and have decided to pull the trigger. Wisconsin inst the same team of their past, I think this game could very easily go similar to the Northwestern game. Lock in a unit on the ML and one at +10
Sat, Oct 25, 2014 at 10:48 AM
10/25/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 160 TCU* -23 -105 vs Texas Tech
Risking 3.00 To Win 2.86 (WINNER)
I actually think TCU has a very good shot of getting into the final 4 playoff this year, even with the one close loss to Baylor, I don’t think that will hurt them too much, if they continue to roll teams as they have been. This weeks victim is going to be the Red Raiders of Texas Tech, the Red Raiders play well at home, but have always struggled on the road, they average 34.5 points per game at home but only 26.5 on the road. They struggled against a K-State defense on the road, and I think TCU is just as good if not better on D. They also have a very large defensive problem, ranking 116th in the FBS. Combine the lack of D with their inability to play in hostile territory, and the fact that TCU is blowing bad defenses away, I am laying the big chalk on the Horned Frogs. TCU is scoring over 45 points per game on average and allowing under 21... so against an average team with an average Offense and Defense they would cover this spread, add the points for home field advantage and motivation to keep their playoff dreams alive and we have a strong system play here.
10/25/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 53 Boston Bruins* -1½ +270 vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Risking 1.00 To Win 2.70 (WINNER)
We have a Road Puck line system play here. Toronto plays terrible at home, especially against good quality teams. Over the last 2 years Toronto has been one of the worst teams in the NHL for getting blown out, Boston although not as potent on offense, is still one of the best all around teams. I think they get it done and win this game 3-1. Also note if Boston is in the lead in the 3rd they are one of the best in the business at getting that empty net goal. At +270 we are getting excellent value here.
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