Sun, Oct 19, 2014 at 8:31 AM
10/19/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 452 Indianapolis Colts* -3 -116 vs Cincinnati Bengals
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.72 (WINNER)
10/19/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 452 Indianapolis Colts* -9.5 +205 vs Cincinnati Bengals
Risking 1.00 To Win 2.05 (WINNER)
This one is my 2nd favorite play of the day behind Baltimore. The Colts are 12-1 behind Andrew luck in games where the total is over 44 and they are at home. They know how to win behind Luck, especially at home. Cincinnati is not the same team on the road, as we saw a couple weeks ago vs the Pats. The Bengals area also definitely not the same team without Green, I think he is worth at least 3 or 4 points. The Colts come into this game ranked #1 in passing, and 1st in total offense. The Bengals are coming off their 37 point tie vs the Panthers in a game that they should have won. Going on the road here against a Colts team riding a 4 game win streak, I really like the Colts to make a statement here and get a double digit win at home.
Mon, Oct 13, 2014 at 1:36 PM
10/19/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 464 Baltimore Ravens* -7 +100 vs Atlanta Falcons
Risking 4.00 To Win 4.00 (WINNER)
I am laying down 4 units on this one. I really expected this line to open closer to -9.5. Baltimore is a great team at home and given how bad Atlanta has been, I don't think they have much of a shot of staying with the Ravens. Atlanta comes into this game ranked 27th against the pass and 29th against the rush. Joe Flacco is firing on all cylinders as we saw when he scored 4 tds in the first quarter against Tampa Bay this past week. The Atlanta offence has always been bad on the road, but this week they even looked bad at home. I think Flacco is going to shred this Falcons defense and this on should be a blowout. Lock it in early this week.
Sun, Oct 19, 2014 at 12:02 PM
10/19/2014 4:25 PM Reduced Football 471 New York Giants* +5 -105 vs Dallas Cowboys
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (Loss)
This game is a smart money system play. The Vegas sharps are all over New York today, and when you look at the motivation factor it makes sense. New York seems to do this every year, have an absolutely terrible mid-season game then go on a run. I will admit I haven’t been able to get a good bead on Dallas this year, and we have lost a few going against them. In the end, I look at my job as providing the best info I have and taking emotion out things. The systems all say to make a play on the Giants here, so I am sending it out. NOTE this line is at 5 on Bovada or Bodog, its -4.5 elsewhere. It doesn’t really make any difference as very few games fall on 5 points – so don’t worry about buying the point if you have it at -4.5.
Teaser - ties reduce - NFL sides 7 pts -130
10/19/2014 4:05 PM NFL Football 469 Kansas City Chiefs* +10½ vs San Diego Chargers
10/19/2014 8:30 PM NFL Football 476 Denver Broncos* PK vs San Francisco 49ers
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.54 (WINNER)
I am going with a 7 point teaser here, the Cheifs match up well against the chargers, I like them to be able to run downhill against the Chargers D. I think this is a very close game, and I give the Chiefs a good shot of winning. We need the Chiefs to keep this under 10 points over 75% of the time to make this bet worthwhile and I think we have in excess of 80% shot of that happening. Denver at home at a PK is pretty well always a good bet, ill take Payton over Kaepernick any day of the week. NOTE make sure you get this at +10.5 for the Chiefs. This bet is available at Bodog on a 7 point, or take a 7 point Ties win if you are on 5Dimes.
10/19/2014 5:05 PM NHL Hockey 53 San Jose Sharks* -1 +192 vs New York Rangers
Risking 0.50 To Win 0.96 (Loss)
10/19/2014 5:05 PM Reduced Hockey 53 San Jose Sharks* +105 vs New York Rangers
Risking 0.50 To Win 0.53 (Loss)
I am splitting my play here between the Money line and the -1 line. The -1 line needs a win by 2 to cash, but if the game by chance goes to OT we still have a shot of getting a push on this one if the Sharks win in OT or a shootout. San Jose has been one of the hottest teams to start the year, they are averaging 3.8 goals per game and allowing only 2 goals per game. The Rangers are allowing 4 and only scoring 2.4 per game. They have historically not been a good home team, and they just don’t look great to start this year. Make a play on the hot team with the momentum.
10/19/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 55 Calgary Flames* +135 vs Winnipeg Jets
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.35 (WINNER)
This is a road dog system play. We are getting very similar teams, we great plus money odds on the road underdog. Calgary is statistically a better team that Winnipeg and they have played a much harder schedule to start the season. Lock in another live dog play here.
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Author - Rob Holiday
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