Tue, Oct 7, 2014 at 8:45 AM
10/11/2014 3:30 PM College Football 147 TCU* +10 -118 vs Baylor
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.70 (WINNER)
This line is currently sitting at +9.5. I am suggesting you buy it up to +10 here as I really like this to be a hard fought defensive game, not the type that Baylor usually likes to play. This is also going to be a difficult spot for Baylor as they are now front and center in the national spot light, not an easy place to be. TCU is a great team with a very good defense, look for them to come out strong and possibly win this one.
For now I am locking in 2 units at +10, I am going to look for some additional info before I make a decision on the Money Line.
Tue, Oct 7, 2014 at 11:56 AM
Teaser - ties reduce - NFL sides 6 pts (-110)
I love this teaser, we are getting all of the key numbers here and we have 2 games that should both be low scoring and very defensive. This is the perfect opportunity to lock in an early week teaser when the lines work in our favor and get an excellent value play on both games.
Sat, Oct 11, 2014 at 7:37 AM
10/11/2014 12:00 PM College Football 122 Marshall* -14 -114 vs Middle Tennessee State for 1st Half
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.75 (Loss)
I am taking Marshall -14 for the 1st half here. Looking at Middle Tennessee they have come back in the 2nd half a couple of times against the better teams they have played, and at -23.5 for the game, I am concerned about a back door cover. I do expect that Marshall will come out strong at home and have at least a 14 point lead by the end of the 1st half.
10/11/2014 6:00 PM Reduced Football 159 Alabama* -9½ -102 vs Arkansas
Risking 4.00 To Win 3.92 (Loss)
Our play of the day goes to Alabama. They lost a close one on the road in the last minute vs Ole Miss. Nick Saban isn't going to sit back this week, he needs to make a statement and show everyone that his team deserves to be in the national playoff. Looking at the last 2 years, Arkansas does not match up well against Alabama, losing both matchups 52-0. Their run offense will run right into the teeth of this Alabama defense. If there is one thing that Nick Saban teams know how to defend it's the run. We are getting a gift here with this line below 10. Load up and lock it in.
Sat, Oct 11, 2014 at 9:51 AM
10/11/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 153 Auburn* -2½ -110 vs Mississippi State
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (Loss)
10/11/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 153 Auburn/Mississippi State* Over 63 -105
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (Loss)
I have to take Auburn here as the slight dog. They have played more consistently and I think they match up well against the Mississippi State defense. The up-tempo attack should be able to keep MSST off balance and I think the speed is going to give the bulldogs trouble. I do give MSST a bit of an extra bump due to the damn cow bells, but I think Auburn will be well rehearsed with hand signals and ready to run their offense without being able to hear anything. I like this one to be a shootout, and I think Auburn takes it.
10/11/2014 6:00 PM Reduced Football 169 Washington U* +163 vs California
Risking 1.50 To Win 2.44 (WINNER)
10/11/2014 6:00 PM Reduced Football 169 Washington U* +4 -105 vs California
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (WINNER)
I am going with a 3 unit play on Washington U over Cal. Split the bet between the ML and the +4. I really don't think we will need the 4 points here but I'll take it for half the bet. Cal has played several long games in a row that have been absolute shoot outs, capped by their thriller win over Washington State last weekend by 1 point 60-59. I don't see a big advantage on either side on offence, the difference that i think will give the Huskies the advantage is their defense. Over the last 3 games Cal has allowed a total of 164 points against, that's an average of almost 55 points per game!!! Washington has allowed 46 over their last 3 games for an average of 15.3... Now the opposition hasn't exactly been comparable, but Washington was able to hold Stanford to only 20 points, and I think in the end their ability to hold on 3rd down will make the difference in this one.
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