Sports Picker VIP Results for 8-6-2014 (0-2 for -4 Units)

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Wed, Aug 6, 2014 at 12:48 PM

8/6/2014 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 913 Baltimore Orioles* -110  vs Toronto
Blue Jays W Chen - L Listed   D Hutchison - R Listed
Risking 2.50 To Win 2.27 (Loss)

8/6/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Baseball 913 Baltimore Orioles* -1½ +150  vs Toronto Blue Jays
W Chen - L Listed   D Hutchison - R Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 2.25 (Loss)

This is a mid-week road system play. This system has netted over 40 units over the last 3 years by focusing on winning teams playing on the road on Wednesdays betting both the Run line and ML. At -111 this also basically qualifies as both a road dog system play and a road run line system play. Overall there are a lot of factors that line up to make this an extremely profitable play. We are getting basically even money (+vig) on a very hot team in the Orioles, they are starting one of their best pitcher Chen who is 12-3 on the year and the team is 14-7 behind him for a ML win of +825 on the year. The Os have a better road record compared to the Jays home record at 34-23 compared to 30-24 for the Jays. Looking at Chen specifically the Os have won his last 5 starts and covered the run line in 3 of them. He also hasn't lost since June. The Os have one of the best Bullpens in baseball right now so closing out a lead shouldn't be a problem. The Os crushed the Jays 9-3 last night and looks extremely confident at the plate. Looking at the Jays they are starting Hutchison who started the year off well but has struggled lastely allowing 21 runs over his last 5 starts and losing 3 of those 5 games. The 2 games the Jays did win they needed 5 or more runs to get it done which I think is unlikely vs Chen tonight. 

Additionally looking at the Jays batting, for the year they are 4th in the league in runs and 3rd in batting avg at .264.
Looking at their season record vs Lefties they drop to 19th in runs and 27th in batting avg at .243 good for 4th last in the MLB.

The Jays are in the midst of a 4 game slide and the Orioles have won 3 straight, 7 of 10 and 12 of 18 since the All Star break.

Those of you who have been subscribers for a while know that my 4 unit plays are very rare and I only make them when we
have a significant advantage in all 3 areas, statistical, situational and value based.

Lets Lock It in and Lets Get It

Rob

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