Sports Picker VIP Results for 8-18-2014 (0-3 for -4 Units)

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Mon, Aug 18, 2014 at 1:06 PM

8/18/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 432 Washington Redskins* -2 -108  vs Cleveland Browns
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.85 (Loss)

8/18/2014 8:00 PM NFL Football 432 Washington Redskins* -3½ +145  vs Cleveland Browns
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.45 (Loss)

Today I am going with Washington to cover the spread at -2 and also another 1 unit on Washington to win by 4 or more. 
  
Washington has far more experience at the QB position and has performed excellently in preseason play for the past few years. They won all 4 games in 2013 and crushed New England in game 1 of their 2014 campaign. The reason they are doing so well is that Washington has one of the toughest QB battles going on this pre-season and they have starting QB talent in for basically the entire game., all three looked great in game 1. Cousins went 9 of 13 for 103 yards, Girffin didn't play much but went 2 of 4 and the biggest surprise was Mccoy who went 8 of 9 for 102 yards. I expect more of this kind of play tonight.

On the other hand we have Cleveland, there has been a lot of hype this year around Johnny Football but thus far things haven't
really materialized, in his first game he went 7 for 11 for 63 yards while adding 27 yards on six carries. Brian Hoyer has the starting job at the moment but he was also not to impressive in his first game going 6 for 14 for 92 yards. 

Looks like the 3rd string backup for Cleveland will be Rex Grossman tonight, and if things are close down the stretch I'll take the
Redskins and McCoy to get over Grossman anytime.

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8/18/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Baseball 915 Seattle Mariners* -1½ +115  vs Philadelphia Phillies
R Elias - L Listed   J Williams - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.15 (Loss)

Seattle has been on fire lately. They have won 10 of their last 12 games and covered the run line in every single one of the wins.  Elias has pitched well his last 4 outings where he has earned 2 wins, 1 loss and 1 no decision. He hasn't allowed more than 2 runs in any one of those 4 games.

Williams comes into this game at 2-5 on the year. He picked up a no decision in his first game for the Phillies on Tuesday where he pitched 5.1 innings allowed 5 hits and 2 runs, however he comes into this game with an ERA of 6.43 on the year. 

Over all I give the slight pitching advantage to the Mariners here, and a HUGE momentum advantage to the Mariners as the Phillies
have won just 3 of their last 10 games.

There isn't enough value in the Mariners at -154 on the ML. So I am sticking with a 1 unit play on the run line, looking at their
recent play, if they win, they should win by 2 or more, and facing Williams I think that is a high percentage probability of a multi-run win. 

Lets Get It

Rob

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