Sports Picker VIP Results for 7-31-2014 (3-2 for +1.06 Units)

Email 1:
Thu, Jul 31, 2014 at 12:03 PM

7/31/2014 7:10 PM MLB Baseball 907 Cincinnati Reds* -115  vs Miami Marlins
J Cueto - R Listed   T Koehler - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.86 (WINNER)

7/31/2014 7:10 PM Reduced Baseball 907 Cincinnati Reds* -1½ +160  vs Miami Marlins
J Cueto - R Listed   T Koehler - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.60 (WINNER)

I am going with the Reds here. Cueto 11-6 ERA 2.08 has been by far their best pitcher both at home and on the road. The team seems to play better when he is on the mound. The Reds have been in a bit of a slump since the allstar break, losing 10 of their last 12 games, Cueto however has pitched very well, and got the team one of those 2 wins. On top of that, its not like they have been getting blown out, they have lost 5 of those 10 games by 1 run. Including the 5-4 loss last night. I like them to bounce back tonight and get a solid win.

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7/31/2014 8:10 PM MLB Baseball 921 Toronto Blue Jays* -125  vs Houston Astros
D Hutchison - R Listed   J Cosart - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.80 (Canceled)

7/31/2014 8:10 PM Reduced Baseball 921 Toronto Blue Jays* -1½ +115 vs Houston Astros
D Hutchison - R Listed   J Buchanan - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.15 (Loss)

Looks like the Jays have figured things out since the Allstar break. They have been putting up runs like crazy scoring a combined 24 runs over 3 games vs Boson and another 15 over 3 games vs the Yankees just before. Houston also put up some runs in their last series vs the As but having watched those games I still think the Jays have the clear advantage here. I don't see much difference in Pitching both pitchers come in around the Same 4.4 ERA. this series is going to come down to who can get more runners on base and in scoring position, and I am going to back the Jays.

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7/31/2014 10:10 PM MLB Baseball 911 Atlanta Braves* +190  vs Los Angeles Dodgers
J Teheran - R Listed   C Kershaw - L Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 2.85 (Loss)

I don't make a habit of betting against the best pitcher in Baseball. But this has all the makings of a trap game and there is so much value in taking the Braves that I have to make an underdog play here. Teheran is a VERY good pitcher. He comes into this game at 10-6 ERA of 2.71. The Dodgers have won 5 straight games, trend wise Wednesday and Thursday games have the least home field advantage. The Dodgers are 9-15 after back to back wins, the Braves will be gunning to salvage a single win from this series. My math suggests this should be closer to a +140 line, not a +190, so we will take the value and see if we can catch an underdog win. 

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Email 2:
Thu, Jul 31, 2014 at 4:29 PM

7/31/2014 9:40 PM MLB Baseball 910 Arizona Diamondbacks* +110  vs Pittsburgh Pirates
J Locke - L Listed   J Collmenter - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.10 (WINNER)

I am also adding a play on the 

Dbacks - The D-Backs havent been very good but they seem to get it done when Collmenter pays. 
 


Lets Get It

Rob

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