Sun, Jan 4, 2015 at 8:03 AM
1/4/2015 1:00 PM Reduced Football 6 Indianapolis Colts* -4 -102 vs Cincinnati Bengals
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.96 (WINNER)
This one is an interesting situation. The public is all over the Colts with 68% of the Vegas ticket count, the Sharps or “Wise guys” are taking Cincinnati which is what has held this line at 3.5 to 4 all week. Ill be honest, I looked at all the different angles I usually do and I just don’t see the wise guy angle.This line at -4 suggests that the Colts would be favored by 7 on a neutral field, which I guess may be about a half point much (and could be the angle) But when I look at this specific situation I think it justified. The Bengals have always been way better at home and struggled on the road.The Bengals as also a terrible prime time team, going 3-10 in prime time since they drafted Dalton and an even worse 0-3 in the playoffs.We had a big 4 unit play on the Colts in this matchup earlier this year (line was Colts -3) when the Colts shut them out 27-0, and one of the factors for that play was the absence of AJ Green, who happens to be out in this game too.
With Daltons main target inured, I expect the Colts pass rush to get to him and cause him to force a few balls into tight coverage. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a few turnovers from Dalton. He threw up a few brutal passes in the loss to Pittsburgh and I think it will only get worse this week.
Looking at the Colts they are finally getting healthy, they have a health TY Hilton and Reggie Wayne has had a couple extra weeks for his groin to heal. Luck is a passing QB and he’s at his best at home.
For me this matchup favors the Colts so we are going heads up with the sharps and taking the Colts here.
Sun, Jan 4, 2015 at 12:00 PM
1/4/2015 8:05 PM Reduced Hockey 62 Chicago Blackhawks* -1½ +140 vs Dallas Stars
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.40 (Loss)
Chicago is on a roll. Since November 15th they are 16-4 and they have won 10 of those games by 2 or more goals. Dallas is a decent team but they havent played great competition lately. Over the same period they are 12-8, but 7 of those losses have been by 2 or more goals. They have beat up on some bad teams, but haven't played as well against good teams.
I like the Blackhawks to win this one and chances are if they do,its by 2 or more goals.
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