Sports Picker VIP Results for 1-4-2015 (1-1 for +.96 Units)

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Sun, Jan 4, 2015 at 8:03 AM

1/4/2015 1:00 PM Reduced Football 6 Indianapolis Colts* -4 -102  vs Cincinnati Bengals
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.96 (WINNER)

This one is an interesting situation. The public is all over the Colts with 68% of the Vegas ticket count, the Sharps or “Wise guys” are taking Cincinnati which is what has held this line at 3.5 to 4 all week. Ill be honest, I looked at all the different angles I usually do and I just don’t see the wise guy angle.This line at -4 suggests that the Colts would be favored by 7 on a neutral field, which I guess may be about a half point much (and could be the angle) But when I look at this specific situation I think it justified. The Bengals have always been way better at home and struggled on the road.The Bengals as also a terrible prime time team, going 3-10 in prime time since they drafted Dalton and an even worse 0-3 in the playoffs.We had a big 4 unit play on the Colts in this matchup earlier this year (line was Colts -3) when the Colts shut them out 27-0, and one of the factors for that play was the absence of AJ Green, who happens to be out in this game too.

With Daltons main target inured, I expect the Colts pass rush to get to him and cause him to force a few balls into tight coverage. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a few turnovers from Dalton. He threw up a few brutal passes in the loss to Pittsburgh and I think it will only get worse this week.

Looking at the Colts they are finally getting healthy, they have a health TY Hilton and Reggie Wayne has had a couple extra weeks for his groin to heal. Luck is a passing QB and he’s at his best at home.

For me this matchup favors the Colts so  we are going heads up with the sharps and taking the Colts here.

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Sun, Jan 4, 2015 at 12:00 PM

1/4/2015 8:05 PM Reduced Hockey 62 Chicago Blackhawks* -1½ +140  vs Dallas Stars
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.40 (Loss)

Chicago is on a roll. Since November 15th they are 16-4 and they have won 10 of those games by 2 or more goals. Dallas is a decent team but they havent played great competition lately. Over the same period they are 12-8, but 7 of those losses have been by 2 or more goals. They have beat up on some bad teams, but haven't played as well against good teams.

I like the Blackhawks to win this one and chances are if they do,its by 2 or more goals.

Lets Get It

Rob

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