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The 8 Sports Bettors to Know on Twitter

9/27/2014

3 Comments

 

8. Rob Holiday - @robsportspicker

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    1. Owner of Sports-picker.com, Expert Sports Handicapper. For the Calendar year of 2014, clients have gained over 125% bankroll return. Most known for a no BS approach and 100% transparent results. Rob actually posts his daily picks to a VIP results blog the Day after they go out to VIP clients. VIP clients are currently up over 25 units for the month of September already. That’s an over 300% annual return on investment.

    2. Followers: 2.1K

    3. Tweets: 626

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. Free pick Friday's. We are on the Pirates today! Lock it in for a must win game. Full write up on the… http://instagram.com/p/ta7-HwNuls/ 

      2. Just posted a new article to the Blog, 2014-15 Preseason NHL Predictions http://www.sports-picker.com/sports-blog/pr

7. Chris Andrews - @andrewssports

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    1. A former casino owner and Nevada man for over 30 years, Chris Andrews knows more than thing or two about picking winners. His passion for sports betting led him to founding Against The Number, “a community of licensed bookmakers and odds makers, professional sports handicappers, sports writers and sports enthusiasts.”

    2. Followers: 10.6K

    3. Tweets: 19K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “More hockey from @Westgate_LV NHL Division odds http://againstthenumber.com/westgate-lv-nhl-regular-season-points/ …”

      2. “I explain the terminology and how to interpret the information I put in my Daily Line Move Log. http://againstthenumber.com/wiseguys-sharp-money-and-line-moves/ …”

6. Todd Fuhrman - @ToddFuhrman

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    1. No list would be complete without Todd Fuhrman, a former Caesars’ Palace odds-maker turned inside source for FoxSports1. Few bettors are as active or as informative on Twitter. Fuhrman will Tweet out injury reports, helpful links, lines and an array of other valuable information on a daily basis, in addition to general sports-related musings.

    2. Followers: 43.8K

    3. Tweets: 32K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “BET THE BOARD: #NFL podcast with @PayneInsider and I is ready to roll including a preview of tonight's #ATLvsTB game http://www.toddstake.com/2014/09/18/bet-board-pod/ …”

      2. “Listening to people talk about gambling on the #NFL as unethical cracks me up...it might be the only "pure" thing left in the entire sport.”

5.  Gill Alexander - @beatingthebook

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    1. Gill Alexander is a sports betting enthusiast with a passion for the NFL and his favorite team, the Washington Redskins. When he’s not ReTweeting breaking sports news, he’s directing followers to his Beating the Book podcast for the latest insider knowledge on American sports betting.

    2. Followers: 11.2K

    3. Tweets: 26.6K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “Beating The Book: NFL MegaPod Wk 2 w #SuperContest Champ @4RichardStand, @MarcoInVegas, @VegasRunner: http://directory.libsyn.com/episode/index/id/3061071 … #Eagles #Colts”

      2. “Random MLB stat: Nationals have longest streak of consecutive road games w 1+ HR this season, currently @ 20. 2nd longest streak: Nats (13)”

4. Chad Millman - @chadmillman

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    1. As the Editor and Chief of ESPN the Magazine, few gamblers are as well positioned as Mr. Millman to acquire the necessary information to put their money on the line. Millman loves Tweeting out links to bettor friendly podcasts, ESPN-sponsored articles, lines and generally sports-friendly facts and pics.

    2. Followers: 55K

    3. Tweets: 4K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “Give it up for podcast guest host @DougESPN who grilled Scooch on nfl week 3 lines/action. He has a booming voice. http://bit.ly/1p1CqNc”

      2. “Game 4 of @ESPNMag #fansourced YOU vs. wiseguy challenge: LSU -5.5 vs. Wisconsin. Tell me who you like. Why?”

  1. 3. RJ Bell - @RJinVegas
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    1. RJ Bell has been calling shots in Vegas for years. When he’s not betting with or against the spread, he’s chatting it up with Colin Cowherd on ESPN radio or running his own business—Pregame.com. Bell loves to Tweet about breaking sports news, betting lines, random facts and other information of value for the competitive bettor.

    2. Followers: 89K

    3. Tweets: 16.4K

    4. Recent Tweets

      1. “#Falcons off a loss by 6 or more points: 18-4 against the spread the next game.”

      2. “#Cowboys as favorites after winning last game: 1-13 against the spread”

2. Betting Talk - @bettingtalk_

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    1. Centered in the heart of the American betting community — Las Vegas, Nevada — Betting Talk isn’t an everyday Tweet machine, but it’s a great source for retweets and quotes on the news relevant to sports books.

    2. Followers: 34.5K

    3. Tweets: 15.6K

    4. Recent Tweets

      1. “Author: Federal statute prohibiting sports betting may have granted an illegal monopoly. http://www.bettingtalk.com/author-federal-statute-prohibiting-sports-betting-may-granted-nevada-illegal-monopoly/ …”

      2. “Lesniak petition asking Christie to sign sports betting legislation: http://raymondlesniak.com/start-sports-betting-in-new-jersey/ …”

1. William Hill Betting - @WillHillBet

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    1. William Hill Betting has one of the most active betting-related accounts on Twitter, frequently blowing-up follower feeds on a daily basis. Though they’re not American (they’re British bookies), William Hill Betting covers American sports, particularly the NFL, in admirable detail. Being based in the UK, it goes without saying they are extremely knowledgeable when it comes to putting out odds on soccer and golf.

    2. Followers: 115.2K

    3. Tweets: 87.8K

    4. Recent Tweets

      1. “What time will defeat be conceded in the Scottish Independence Vote? Before 3 AM 13/2, 3 AM to 5am 9/4, After 5 AM 4/9”

      2. “Both Tampa Bay & Atlanta lost last week’s matches. Who’ll be victorious in this divisional match up? Total points Over/Under (45.0) 10/11”

3 Comments

15 NHL Rookies To Watch This Year

9/26/2014

0 Comments

 

NHL Handicapping Tips - New Rookies to Watch in 2014-2015

NHL Handicapping requires that you be aware of the new players entering the league. This year is no exception, so I have created this article to help my fellow NHL Handicappers.

Every year, the NHL rewards the best rookie in the league with the Calder Trophy – A prized award suggestive of future success. An early career gift from the all-powerful hockey gods.

The young man who wins award will join an elite club featuring some of the greatest to every play the game, including: Bobby Orr, Ray Bourque, Mario Lemieux and Martin Brodeur.

So who will win the Calder Trophy this year?—Probably someone from this list…

15. Sam Bennett – C – Calgary Flames

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a. Smooth stick -work and a high-octane shot made Bennett the fourth-overall pick in the 2014 NHL Entry Draft. It’s something of a miracle the forward was still on the board when Calgary’s number was called – The NHL’s Draft Bureau ranked him as the top North American prospect, ahead of first-overall pick Aaron Ekblad.  So this year be sure to keep an eye on these teams and their new young talent. This time of year is absolutely fundamental to your overall season success in NHL Handicapping. Get your early season NHL predictions right and you will be off to the races. 




14. Kevin Hayes – RW – New York Rangers

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a. During his first three years at Boston College, Kevin Hayes pretty much dinked around on the ice. It wasn’t until his senior season when he realized he was actually pretty good at hockey, netting 28 goals and earning 39 assists in just 39 games. The Rangers are hoping some of that college magic carries over into his first NHL season.







13. Anthony Mantha  – RW — Detroit Red Wings

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a. Tony Mantha has two distinct skills that make him a likely addition to the Red Wings’ roster: goal scoring and more goal scoring. During his last two seasons in Juniors he slapped in 107 goals in just 124 games. Sounds like an NHL-ready talent to me.









12. William Nylander – C —Toronto Maple Leafs

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a. He may look like he’s about 12 – he’s 18 in case you were wondering – but Nylander has the natural skill-set one would expect in a first-round pick. Oh yeah, he has NHL pedigree too – his father is former-player Michael Nylander. 







11. Anders Lee – C – New York Islanders

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a. Lee spent time bouncing around last season between the AHL and the NHL, but didn’t spend enough time at the pro-level to chew up his rookie status. Heading into 2014-15, it looks like he could center either the second or third line for the Islanders, assuming he performs in the preseason.




10. Filip Forsberg – C – Nashville Predators

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a. Before you ask, no, this young Swede is not related to former NHL-great Peter Forsberg. But he is a former first round pick from the 2012 NHL Entry Draft. If Filip can tap into the power of the Forsberg legacy, he should do just fine in the pros.




9. Michael Hutchinson – G – Winnipeg Jets

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a. Winnipeg is bad…Really bad. Sorry, Winnipeg. Taking that into account, coach Paul Maurice will likely be forced to make frequent roster and lineup changes which means Hutchinson, for better or for worse, could see a lot of ice time. 



8. Antti Raanta – G – Chicago Blackhawks

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a. Given the uncertainty of Hawks goalkeeper Corey Crawford, Raanta has a chance to take over the starting role for the Blackhawks, particularly if Crawford gets injured…which he will.




7. Mirco Mueller – D – San Jose Sharks

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a. The 19 year-old Swiss blueliner is flying very much under the radar but has a real chance to make San Jose’s roster this season given their defensive unit is sorely in need of some younger legs. He plays an intelligent brand of hockey that could help him become a breakout player.



6. Evgeny Kuznetsov – C – Washington Capitals

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a. One of the most exciting prospects of the 2014-15 season, fans are swooning over the potential of the 22 year-old Russian center. If he makes the Capitals roster, there’s a strong possibility he could end up a line with fellow countryman and future NHL Hall of Famer, Alexander Ovechkin.

5. Teuvo Teravainen – C –  Chicago Blackhawks

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a. The flighty Fin is one of the fastest skaters on the Blackhawks but he may not make the opening night roster due to the Hawks off-season acquisition of Brad Richards.  Still, Teravainen’s offensive upside should make him a must-add come the midseason.



4. John Gibson – G – Anaheim Ducks

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a. Gibson will likely start the season as a backup to Ducks goalies Frederik Andersen, but that doesn’t mean he won’t be the starter come the new year. With all-star net-minder Johnathan Quick between the pipes across town, Anaheim is anxious to turn the reigns over to their goalie of the future. 


3. Aaron Ekblad – D – Florida Panthers

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a. The first overall selection in the 2014 NHL entry draft, Aaron Ekbald is, quite simply, a freak of nature. Born in 1996—wow, that makes me feel old—the Panther rookie is just 18 years of age but absolutely poised to play with the big boys this season given his 6’3” 215 pound frame.



2. Johnny Gaudreau – LW – Calgary Flames

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a. Though slight in stature – he’s only 5’7” – Johnny Gaudreau plays with elite skill and a ton of heart not unlike former Calgary Flames great, Theo Fleury. “Johnny Hockey”, as he’s commonly referred to, only played in one game in 2013-14 but that will increase significantly this season.

1. Jonathan Drouin – LW – Tampa Bay Lightning

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a. The 19 year-old winger for the Tampa Bay Lightning spent all of last season crushing it in the CHL – He was named MVP of the league after carrying his team, the Halifax Mooseheads, to the Memorial Cup. Drouin will likely miss the start of the regular season with a fractured thumb, but should make an impact for the Lightning once he returns.

0 Comments

The 11 Most Informative Sports Media Personalities on Twitter

9/23/2014

0 Comments

 

11.  Peter King - @SI_PeterKing

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    1. One of the most plugged-in sports journalists out there, King is worth a follow if only for his witty commentary on the daily happenings of the sports world. He’s a recipient of the National Sportswriter of the Year award (2010) — so, um, he can write — and he helps to run Sports Illustrated’s Monday Morning Quarterback column.

    2. Followers: 1.35M

    3. Tweets: 26.6 K

    4. Recent Tweets:
      1. “Manning on Manning: "To ever watch film without a pen and paper in your hand is a complete waste of time." ... http://mmqb.si.com/2014/09/18/peyton-manning-denver-broncos-unplugged/?utm_source=fantasyleaguegm.com …”
      2. “Rice, video. Hardy, a judge. Peterson, photos. McDonald doesn't have that searing proof. If he ever does, he'll go. Not yet.”

10.  Pierre LeBrun - @Real_ESPNLeBrun

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    1. As far as NHL coverage is concerned, it’s hard to think of another reporter that does more than Pierre LeBrun, who writes for both ESPN and ESPN’s Canadian cousin TSN. LeBrun’s Twitter feed it constantly includes important league updates, roster moves and links to entertaining articles on the NHL.

    2. Followers: 393K

    3. Tweets: 17K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “In my Tuesday piece: Mike Richards on his summer workouts, his lessons learned and more, http://espn.go.com/blog/nhl/post/_/id/32541/mike-richards-not-content-to-be-kings-fourth-line-center … #lakings”

      2. “Looking at Mike Babcock's future in my Thursday blog: http://m.espn.go.com/general/blogs/blogpost?blogname=nhl&id=32329&src=desktop …”

9.  Jay Glazer - @JayGlazer

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    1. If Adam Schefter has a competition with anyone when it comes to reporting breaking NFL-related news, it’s Fox Sports’ Jay Glazer. The bald man with the well-shaped goatee, has been the NFL Insider for NFL on Fox since 2004 and though he not as “on the money” as Schefter yet, he’s pretty damn close.

    2. Followers: 668K

    3. Tweets: 11.1K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “Both Roddy white and Doug Martin deactivated tonight”

      2. “Vikings have placed Adrian Peterson on Commissioner's exempt list, meaning he's shelved until further notice”

8.  Pat Forde - @YahooForde


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    1. Pat Forde has one of the keenest NCAA football minds in the country which is precisely why he practically runs the subsection on Yahoo! Sports. Prior to Yahoo! Sports, Forde earned his reputation as a writer for ESPN, particularly his “Forde Yard Dash” column.

    2. Followers: 257K

    3. Tweets: 28K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “K-State lost as much as Auburn won, but valuable win on road against a pretty good opponent. Tigers could end up w nation's No. 1 SOS.”

      2. “Breaking: Texas Tech DC Matt Wallerstedt has been dismissed from the staff. Details coming on http://CoachingSearch.com”

7.  Matthew Berry - @MatthewBerryTMR

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    1. Let’s not lie to ourselves, fantasy football has become big business and a large percentage of NFL fans play on a weekly basis in a variety of leagues both public and private. Matthew Berry is one of the most well-respected minds in the fantasy football world and he’s an active Twitter user to boot. Follow him for his weekly sleepers, injury updates and other inside info.

    2. Followers: 655K

    3. Tweets: 31.4K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “With Doug Martin inactive Bobby Rainey is top 10. With Roddy out, Julio a top 3 WR, Harry Douglas a top 20 WR. Could see some Hester too.”

      2. “Whoa. RT @adamteicher Jamaal Charles is practicing with chiefs today. An interesting turn of events. Looked OK to me”

6.  Darren Rovell - @darrenrovell

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    1. A lot of people don’t like Rovell because he tends to talk the economic-side of the sports, a topic many fans try to stay away from. But the man who was once the sole sports reporter for CNBC now has a much more conventional role with ESPN, and his Tweeting habits, though still laden with sports-business factoids, have gone more mainstream.

    2. Followers: 506K

    3. Tweets: 76K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “Fanatics: Adrian Peterson, Ray Rice & Greg Hardy jerseys represented less than .01% of overall NFL sales.”

      2. “CBS pays $39.2 million for each Thursday Night Football game, including, unfortunately, tonight's game.”

5.  David Purdum - @DavidPurdum

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    1. David Purdham lives and breathes the Las Vegas sports betting scene, but he’s a journalist by trade which makes him a media follow. At the moment he covers all-things gambling for ESPN and frequently Tweets out interesting post/pregame facts, shifting lines and important injury/suspension news.

    2. Followers: 12.7K

    3. Tweets: 14K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “Florida St. opens as a 7.5-point favorite in first half against Clemson @LSVSuperBook. Noles -16.5 for game.”

      2. “90% of the money bet on the New Orleans-Cleveland game was on the Saints.”

4.  Bill Simmons - @BillSimmons   


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    1. The man is a legendary sports journalist. He started Grantland, helped get the ESPN 30 for 30 series off the ground and runs the BS Report podcast. Did we mention he’s an author?—No?—Well he’s that too, having written The Book of Basketball. If that’s not enough, Bill Simmons hails from one of the most sports-crazed regions in America, greater Boston. Follow this man.

    2. Followers: 2.9M

    3. Tweets: 12.7K

    4. Recent Tweets:

      1. “My last 2 columns: Week 2 picks/emails/Draft Day thoughts http://grantland.com/the-triangle/the-sports-guys-week-2-nfl-picks/ … and the Goodell Must-Go-Bag http://grantland.com/the-triangle/roger-goodell-need-to-step-down/ …”

      2. “The best NBA writer ever on the wasted life of one of the best NBA talents ever: Bob Ryan on Marvin Barnes. http://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/2014/09/09/marvin-barnes-what-talent-what-waste/cSySkkPcHZaswmWuEZSIPL/story.html …”

3.  Michael Wilbon - @RealMikeWilbon


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    1. Not the most frequent Twitter user, Michael Wilbon aims for quality rather than quantity in his Tweets. Though he’s a Chicago-first journalist when it comes to sports news, he’s not a beat writer. As the co-host of ESPN’s PTI he talks plenty of Big 4 sports headlines on social media.

    2. Followers: 1.5M

    3. Tweets: 4.7K

    4. Recent Tweets

      1. “People will crush Kap for the TOs but the Conte and Fuller picks were great def plays, breaking on the ball, sure-handed catches...Def. A+”

      2. “So incredibly sad to see Paul George injured like that...my first thought was of Joe Theisman's injury 30 years ago...All the best to Paul.”

2.  Adam Schefter - @AdamSchefter


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    1. Adam Schefter may only cover one sport, but man does he cover the hell out of it. He’s ESPN’s go-to source for inside information and breaking news on the NFL, so you know Schefter isn’t just an average reporter. He Tweets consistently during the NFL season and absolutely dominates Twitter going into pregame on Sunday.

    2. Followers: 3.1M

    3. Tweets: 25K

    4. Recent Tweets

      1. “And Bucs have deactivated RB Doug Martin.”

      2. “49ers DL Ray McDonald arrested, not charged. Different stage in legal process than other two cases. AP had indictment, Hardy a conviction.”

1.  Scott Van Pelt - @notthefakeSVP

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    1. Oh, Scott Van Pelt. The man who made a name for himself as a SportsCenter anchor and one of the best actors on the This Is SportsCenter commercials, has dabbled in just about everything during his career: radio, sideline reporting and—you guessed—Twitter. He not always Tweeting the latest news, but he is usually blasting out pretty entertaining stuff.

    2. Followers: 708K

    3. Tweets: 35K

    4. Recent Tweets

      1. “Enjoyed it. Thx @UGAAthletics: Todd Gurley sitting down with @notthefakeSVP for @CollegeGameDay! #UGAvsSC #GoDawgs https://vine.co/v/OzXux0YxlwX ””

      2. “Just a gruesome day for B1G underway. Worst case scenario type of stuff.”

0 Comments

NFL Public Betting Percentages Explained

9/19/2014

1 Comment

 

Profit from NFL Public Betting Percentages

This article explains what the Public Betting Percentages are actually telling you, and also how you can use this information when making your picks in the NFL.

Many sportsbooks will provide what are known as public betting percentages either to their customers or to companies that track odds and report on what bettors are doing. There really is no harm in doing so and public betting percentages are simply the amount of bets that are placed at a sportsbook, not the amount of money that is bet on either side. From a public betting percentage standpoint, sportsbooks do not differentiate between a casual bettor placing a $22 wager on the Chicago Bears or a professional bettor placing an $11,000 wager on the New York Jets. Each team is credited with having received one bet.

What the sportsbooks will not do is provide the betting percentages in relation to money wagered on a game.

Using the example above, the Jets would be receiving 500 times the amount of money bet than the Bears. While the sportsbooks won’t release the information, many times you can get an idea of which way the money is coming in on a game by watching the line movement.

You won’t be able to make a precise guess, but if the public betting percentages were showing 50% of the wagers on the Bears and 50% of the wagers on the Jets and the line moved from New York -1 to New York -2.5 you could reasonably conclude that more money is coming in on the Jets, even though the number of bets are the same.

People will use public betting percentages in several different ways. Some bettors like to be on the same teams as their fellow gamblers and look for those games in which there appears to be a consensus on one team. Whether it’s a belief in the old adage of two heads being better than one and since everybody agrees they must be right, or just a feeling of camaraderie by needing the same side as everybody else, these bettors find a degree of comfort in the safety in numbers train of thought.

How to Profit from NFL Public Betting Percentages

The more popular method of using NFL public betting percentages, however, is going against the betting public, a theory which on the surface seems to make good sense.

The majority of sports bettors are going to lose over time, so when the majority of bettors are on one team, why not go against them?

It’s hard to fault that logic, but unfortunately it’s not quite that easy. A bettor who hits 50% of their plays is going to be a losing bettor, but if you happen to bet against them, you’ll also be a 50% bettor and will end up on the losing side of things. In order to show a profit by betting against somebody, you need their winning percentage to lower than 47.62%, as the break-even figure in sports betting when laying 11-to-10 odds is 52.38%.

But there are several instances in which a bettor can profit from public betting percentages and going against the public when they are overwhelmingly on one side.

NFL Public Betting Percentages on Road Teams Receiving 25% or less of public money

Another NFL Public Betting Strategy is taking road teams receiving 25% or less of the public wagers have shown a 58-39 record since the start of the 2005 season and you can boost your winning percentage a couple of points if you focus on teams which missed the playoffs the year before.

NFL Road Dogs with under 20% of Public Betting Percentage

Closely related is taking NFL road underdogs who are receiving 20% or fewer of the wagers on a game, as these teams have covered the spread close to 57% over the past 10 seasons.

You’ll notice that both methods that were mentioned have you jumping in when at least three out of four bets are coming in on one team and then going the other way. As a result, you’re frequently going to be on some ugly teams and are you going to suffer your share of blowout losses, but remember that you don’t get style points in sports betting and losing 38-7 with a seven-point underdog is no worse than losing 21-13. Likewise, a number of the games that you win will be nail-biters, but once again, having your seven-point underdog lose 20-14 is no different than watching them win 28-17. The second scenario might be a little bit easier on your stomach, but your bet pays the same amount. In sports betting you either win or you don’t and if you happen to go against the huge public favorites, you’ll find yourself winning more often than not.

NFL Public Betting Percentage Reverse Line Moves

Another situation that can lead to a profitable betting strategy using NFL pubic betting percentages is to focus on teams that have a low percent of the public money, but have the line move in their favor. This usually happens when there are a few large bets from so called "Wise guys" or Vegas professionals. Notice in the graph below the line moves from -4 down to -3 with only 25% of the public money on Pittsburgh. This is known as a Reverse Line Move. 

NFL Public Betting
Hopefully this article was helpful. 

Please leave your comments in the space below. I always love hearing your thoughts. 



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1 Comment
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    Author: Rob Holiday

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    I started Sports-Picker.com to share my love of sports and to share my picks and strategy with others. 

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