Pick #1 – Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies
The game were attacking at the books tonight is the Colorado Rockies (56 - 59) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (53 - 63) and its the collision of two teams trying to both get back to .500 and re-kindle some sort of playoff hopes. Were overjoyed to pick up this line as the expert money has already been hammered down on this OVER moving the opening of to an 8.5 giving us a valuable initial indicator were on the right track here. Moving right into some of the vital numbers for this contest we note that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games really highlighting how hot Philly bats have been lately and we can expect more of the same from these power slugging team. When these two teams faced off in their last two games in July the scores were 10-3 and 3-8 further proven that these two teams just love to put up runs against each other and do it without difficulty this year. The teams look to really pick up the pace in the win and offensive column down the stretch and the public consensus seems to believe this as well pushing this MLB total spread as high as 65% towards the OVER. The Colorado Rockies produce 5.24 runs this year and the Philadelphia Phillies show up with 3.72 (this number has actually been rising as of late) runs on average for the season so even on standard stats bias alone we get to this OVER easy. The park factor for this game is an off the charts Red Star(situation strongly favors hitters) +109 rating and we get a huge 14 mph wind out to right center so should be some serious opportunities to plates some runs. The weather at Citizens Bank Park is looking like 95°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 61% and a Wind of Southwest 9 mph so should be no issues with the bats finding their hot spots. Another positive sign we have to feel solid about that points to the OVER in this game is the fact that the Rockies are dealing with uncertain relief staff conditions So once the Phillies get to the bullpen there should be no shortage of runs in the late innings for the home team. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Jon Gray (R) has pitched atrocious lately and sports a current 7 day 19.64 ERA. Also recently inserted into the rotation Jake Thompson (R) has been doing just as bad in August giving up an outstanding 12.46 ERA. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 10.6 and this is one of those very rare signs where the OVER is just screaming to come to fruition at point were getting and 8.5 seems like a real bargain today given all of the above factors.
Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies - Friday, August 12, 2016 7:05 PM
955 Colorado Rockies -1½ +120 -136
956 Philadelphia Phillies +1½ -140 +126
955 Colorado Rockies Over 8½ -110
956 Philadelphia Phillies Under 8½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 8.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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