Pick #1 – Orlando Magic at Chicago Bulls
Fresh week,fresh start and we are going to pick up our focus on the Orlando Magic (3-3) at Chicago Bulls (3-3) as each team takes there shot at going above .500. The savvy money has jumped all over this NBA total knocking it down from a 205 opening line all the way down to a 199 line and leading us to our first lean on the UNDER here. Diving into more facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Chicago and that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando so we get two teams facing off here are accustomed to slow and low scoring games against each other. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 205.4 and 205.6 respectively so this a situational and set up lay we are really looking at here. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year for both teams equals up to a 4-7-1 mark so its clear the odds makers have been off in favor of the UNDER so far for these teams and here we pick up another example of that. When it comes to pace of play Orlando is 26th overall and the league and Chicago is 23rd so this game should move at a snails pace which highly favors our side. Even more promising is that the Magic are 27th in possessions per game and the Bulls rank 25th so the scoring chances should be few and far between in this one. The public consensus for this game is 57% in favor of the OVER so were taking a small bit of a contrarian line tonight. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 206 so its all the other vital factors we will look to when bringing this UNDER 199 win home. Game Time: Orlando Magic at Chicago Bulls - Monday, November 07, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 709 Orlando Magic +7 -110 +240 710 Chicago Bulls -7 -110 -280 Total: 709 Orlando Magic Over 199 -110 710 Chicago Bulls Under 199 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 199 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
We get another absolute perfect set up as the Miami Heat (2-2) go abroad to take on the Toronto Raptors (3-1) in what should be a high flying affair. The Heat's Wayne Ellington appears to be the only player on the injury fence for tonight so it should be full throttle on the scoring gas. Right out of the gate the smart money has taken this NBA total from an original 197 open line to 200.5 line giving us our first indication as to where this OVER bet will most likely be heading. Diving into more key numbers we notice that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road as this contest should be uptempo. Further adding fuel to the scoring fire we take note that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games and that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home so were really getting a nice combo attack here. The trends continue as the total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami so this really is a match made in OVER heaven. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 196.25 and 206 respectively so the offense should be able to push this one up to where we need it. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year for both teams combined is 6-2 as each of these teams have begin the year pushing the pace and putting the ball in the hole. Miami is top 15 in pace of play so we look to them who should be down all game to really have step this encouraging stat up even more. The public consensus for this game is 74% in favor of the OVER so everything points to one side again. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 203 as we hit every important marker to make us fell great about loading this OVER 200.5 up at the books. Game Time: Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors - Friday, November 04, 2016 7:35 PM Spread: 505 Miami Heat +7½ -110 +265 506 Toronto Raptors -7½ -110 -325 Total: 505 Miami Heat Over 200½ -110 506 Toronto Raptors Under 200½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 200.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies
Crazy to start to the NBA year so far and we pick things back up tonight as we get the New Orleans Pelicans (0-4) at the Memphis Grizzlies (2-2) in a battle of two teams that desperately need to get back on track with Pelicans really needing to pick up one with a full effort. There are a number of out indefinitely's to report such as Tyreke Evans, Jrue Holiday, and Quincy Pondexter for the Pelicans and Brandan Wright and Chandler Parsons for the Grizzlies. From the jump the smart money is hammering this NBA total of a 204 opening line that has now shot up to 206.5 giving us our first clue as to where this OVER bet should end up. Sorting through more stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games and that the total has gone OVER in 17 of Memphis's last 25 games at home so picking up a team that gives the extra effort at home. We also note that the total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games and that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing New Orleans. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 201.5 and 218 respectively which gives us plenty of reason to believe the defense is not going to show up with enough push to stop this OVER. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year here is 6-2 as each of these teams have started off at an incredibly fast pace. In fact the Pelicans are 3rd in the league for pace of play and 6th for possession per game so this one should be a barn burner. The public consensus for this game is 74% in favor of the OVER so its all systems go for this one tonight. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 212 so its going to take a lot of bad breaks for this matchup to see anything but the OVER 206.5. Game Time: New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies - Wednesday, November 02, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 511 New Orleans Pelicans +6 -110 +200 512 Memphis Grizzlies -6 -110 -240 Total: 511 New Orleans Pelicans Over 206½ -110 512 Memphis Grizzlies Under 206½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 206.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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