Pick #1 – San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder
The second round of the NBA playoffs is in full swing and oh boy are things starting to heat up. After getting smoked in game 1 the Thunder stormed back in game two to score a win on the Spurs home court. With the series now 1-1 and headed into Oklahoma both teams are merging to even which is evident in stats like the Spurs 7-3 and Thunder 6-4 recent 10 records. The Oklahoma City Thunder (60-29) and the San Antonio Spurs (72-16) are both playing on all cylinders and should be in for a real shootout tonight as we see San Antonio try to out duel Oklahoma at home. Neither squad is reporting any injuries so the entire arsenal will be out tonight and that should mean lots of buckets as OKC pushes the pace at home as they like to do. The Thunder have the opportunity to take back home court advantage over the Spurs so a lot is on the line for both which usually means scoring and more scoring. This is a one off playoff specific situation we are reviewing here and both franchises seem to get up for games in Oklahoma so taking the OVER is going to be a great pick for the following reasons. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games. What we are seeing here is a high flying Thunder home team that will try to make a statement tonight and not by playing defense. The offensive and defensive combined stats over the past 10 games are 208.8 and 188.2 respectively so its really the offensive side of the pendulum that we are hoping to hit here with our OVER selection. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 199 and seems to have jumped up 1.5 points so things are looking favorable on our side as the money is showing us. For the Spurs this is almost a must win and favored by -2.5 on the road will be no easy task and most likely take a lot of points. The public consensus for this pick is a solid 66% so this prediction seems evident to a lot of people. The last time these two team met in Oklahoma resulted in a 111 – 92 Thunder win so expect much of the same this contest. We have to feel confident in the OVER 200.5 as these two powerhouses are geared up for a big game and especially given the circumstances.. Game Time: San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder - Western Conference Playoffs Semi-Finals - Game 3 - Friday, May 06, 2016 9:35 PM Spread: 519 San Antonio Spurs -2½ 520 Oklahoma City Thunder +2½ Total: 519 San Antonio Spurs Over 200½ 520 Oklahoma City Thunder Under 200½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 200.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt NBA Picks Wednesday 5/4/2016 – ATL vs. CLE
Pick #1 – Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers While playoff game one was an 11 point blowout we have to think Atlanta will put on a much better showing in game 2. While the Hawks are playing mediocre 5-5 basketball over there last 10 games not only is Cleveland playing 7-3 over there last 10 but they have the Hawks number going 8-2 over the last 10 head to head meetings. The Atlanta Hawks (52-37) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (62-25) both will be giving it there all tonight and if recent history is any indication of what's to come then the sparks should be flying. There are really no injuries of note for this contest as only the Atlanta Hawks report Tiago Splitter missing in action but that should be a non factor and all offensive weapons will be on deck and locked and loaded. The last 5 meetings between these two teams have all gone OVER the total being presented to us today so its seems highly plausible we see a repeat of this history. When we start to review stats like a Home Team Overall Scoring vs Away Team Overall Defense of 104.29 and and Away Team Overall Scoring vs Home Team Overall Defense of 102.57 we really start to get an inside look on how this game can easily go over. In addition to all of this Cleveland has an overall 23-21 over/under record on the season at home so this is a nice situational play where the odds may not have adjusted correctly due to some recent slower play between each team. Offensive and defensive combined numbers for the last 10 games for these two teams average up to 206.3 and 197.9 so we are really getting a nice current platform that is going OVER in most instances. The total over/under spread for this NBA contest opened at 199 and has dropped as far as 196.5 so while the smart money has punded the UNDER so far the 2.5 points seem to be too much here and now we are picking up lots of value going the other way. The Cavs need to win by -7.5 and have covered against the spread versus the Hawks over the past 5 matchups so there should be plenty of points flying tonight. The consensus for this game puts the OVER at 56% so the public is very much on our side in this one which is always a good sign. The last time these two teams met the final outcome was a 104-93 Cleveland home win so it hit exactly at where the point total is tonight but we have never seen it go under this in 5 previous meetings so we have to like the OVER benchmark we are getting here. The OVER is almost a must in this game at this number as we have never seen these two teams produce a combined score otherwise in the last year . Game Time: Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers - Eastern Conference Playoffs Semi-Finals - Game 2 - Wednesday, May 04, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 513 Atlanta Hawks +7½ 514 Cleveland Cavaliers -7½ Total: 513 Atlanta Hawks Over 196.5 514 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 196.5 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 196.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Okalahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs
The second round of the NBA playoffs is finally here and it looks like teams are really starting to give it all they got as each series becomes increasingly important. After getting crushed in game 1 this is a must win comeback game for the Thunder who are sporting a not that stellar 5-5 record over there last 10 games and will have there work cut out for them against the hot Spurs who have a solid 7-3 10 game run going. The Okalahoma City Thunder (59-29) and the San Antonio Spurs (72-15) are both looking to come away with a win tonight and it appears this matchup will be taking to more of the Thunder's pace of play which bodes well for our pick tonight. Each team is not reporting any injuries so all offensive weapons will be on deck and if it goes anything like last game they will also be on full display. The Thunder need to prove they can hang with the Spurs tonight and this should mean a fast paced game with lots of scoring which is what we saw in the first contest. This is a matchup playoff specific situation we are looking at here and neither team seems to want to play slow basketball so we have feel like taking the OVER is a positive and plus expected value bet for the following reasons. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games. In addition to this the total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games on the roads. What we are seeing here is a high flying Okalahoma team that the Spurs are taking no chances with by matching them with serious offensive power of there own. The offensive and defensive merged stats over the prior 10 games are 210.8 and 191.9 respectively so its really the high offensive production numbers we are banking on here which easily get us to the OVER we need to hit today. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 99.5 and has moved up a point to 200.5 which is always a nice sign that the majority of smart bets on coming in on our favorite side. The Spurs absolutely demolished the Thunder last game on there home court and are a -7.5 point spread favorite tonight so we can be assured the points will be on the up swing again in San Antonio. The public consensus for this pick is a very strong 66% so this outcome seems to have clear side in a lot of people's eyes. The last plyaoff game two days ago in San Antonio between these two Western conference counterparts resulted in a 124 – 92 smashing of the Thunder by the Spurs and it should be another high powered offensive fight tonight. We have to feel great about the OVER 200.5 spot were getting here and should expect another offensive outburst from both sides. Game Time: Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs - Western Conference Playoffs Semifinals - Game 2 - Monday, May 02, 2016 9:35 PM Spread: 509 Oklahoma City Thunder +7½ 510 San Antonio Spurs -7½ Total: 509 Oklahoma City Thunder Over 200½ 510 San Antonio Spurs Under 200½ Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 200.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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