Pick #1 – Tornoto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays
Well its the official opening day of Major League Baseball 2016 and sports fans and betters alike could not be more exstatic. While we are of course starting with a clean slate for the new MLB season we can always turn to historical trends in the beginning to carry us through until the current numbers start building up. The great part about this Tornoto Blue Jays (1-0) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (0-1) is that these two teams were one of only three games yesterday so we get some recent data to find value and extract conclusions from. Starting with the historical trends we see that The total has gone OVER in three of the Blue Jays' last four games against the Rays. This is a great indication that these two teams play high powered offensive baseball when they meet regardless of who is pitching. In addition to this nice trend the The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home and the total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games on the road so we are really gaining some momentum towards an easy justification of taking the OVER here for value. One aspect of this game we really have to like is that fact that both of the teams ace pitchers pitched yesterday and the total still went OVER. The simple fact is these two teams produce when they meet and the general public must feel the same way as the consensus for this MLB total is 71% and the highest out of any bet on the board. Over the 1 game season so far the two teams combine for 8 runs so we have to really like our chances at this going OVER due to the pitching matchups as well as the strength of each teams offense. The weather in Saint Petersburg is a really nice 75 degress with a 4 – 7 mph hour wind so the ball should be flying with plenty of pop. This should be a revenge game for the Rays as well since they lost the home opnener so we can best believe the bats will be focused and ready to produce. The total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 8 and has stayed there and lets get it at that number before it moves a half point on us. One great sign is that they are charging -115 for this OVER which is a great indicator this one should roll our way. One great final point to this pick is the fact that starting Toronto Blue Jays pitcher R.A. Dickey had 2-8, 4.83 ERA record on the road in 2015 really highlighting the fact that this knucleballer really struggles when away from Canada and his woes should continue today against a hungary Rays team and a hot hitting Blue Jays team. The Rays need to win by a solid -1.5 here so we can certainly expect some runs from both sides if that cover has any chance of being met. Lets feel confident in our first 2016 Major League Baseball opening pick and happily take the OVER 8 and enjoy the popcorn and hot dogs as we watch the runs come in and our bankrolls go up. Game Time: Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays - Monday, April 04, 2016 7:10 PM Spread: 969 Toronto Blue Jays +1½ 970 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ Total: 969 Toronto Blue Jays Over 8 970 Tampa Bay Rays Under 8 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Over 8 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks
As two Eastern conference juggarnauts take the court tonight we have to think this might be a bit of a throw away game as each team does not need to worry about playoff positioning really at this time as each team has pretty much clinched there final playoff position. The Hawks are playing some fantastic basketball at the moment going 8-2 over there last 10 games where as the Cavs might have some tweaking to do down the stretch sporting a past 10 game record of 6-4 which may be attributable to resting player and injuries more then anthying. The Atlanta Hawks (45-31) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (53-22) really do not have much to play for tonight so we have to expect a less then competitive game taking place. While there are really no injuries of note for this contest as only the Atlanta Hawks report Tiago Splitter out for tonight but we have to think this might be a great spot for both teams to rest players or take it a bit easy. Regardless of what competitive direction the contest takes however we have to be happy about the recent trends and stats we are seeing. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games. The total has also gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home so simply put these two teams are playing some slower restful basketball lately. In addition to all of this Cleveland is an overall 16-21 over/under for the season on the road and the Hawks are 17-20 at home so the numbers are starting to really pile up on the under side.. Offensive and defensive combined outcomes for the last 10 games for these two teams add up to 212.3 and 199.4 so if we get anywhere near the defensive and lazy offensive end of this game we will be golden. The total over/under spread for this NBA contest opened at 206.5 and is dropping as we type this so its a great sign that the money is pouring in on our Under side. The Hwaks only need to win by -2.5 points here so this shoud be a close low scoring contest where defense and recents trends ultimately prevail.. The consensus for this game puts the UNDER 56% likeliehood so we are getting positive low scoring extrapolations for this match. The last time these two teams face off the final results was a 109-97 Cleveland home win so hit exactly at where the point total is tonight and as we are getting slower playing teams that now need to rest we have to really think this makes the under easy. The UNDER seems to be taking precedent as of late and we will happily take the UNDER 206 here and grab yet another winning ticket. Game Time: Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks - Friday, April 01, 2016 8:05 PM Spread: 507 Cleveland Cavaliers +2½ 508 Atlanta Hawks -2½ Total: 507 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 206 508 Atlanta Hawks Under 206 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: Under 206 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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